This Panthers-Saints player prop pick for Week 14 has won 86% of the time over the last seven weeks, so how could we NOT SMASH this bet again and ride this insane trend? We’re locking some action in on this Alvin Kamara player prop before the value dries up. If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NFL betting model’s picks!
NFL Panthers-Saints Player Prop: Best Alvin Kamara Bet
Panthers-Saints Odds
Odds via bet365
Panthers: +220 | Saints: -270
Panthers +6: -110 | Saints -6: -110
Over 38.5: -110 | Under 38.5: -110
When: Sunday, Dec. 10 at 1 p.m. ET
Expert: Nathan Joyce
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet
This bet has won over 85% of the time over the last seven weeks. So, what is this virtual lock of an NFL player prop bet this week? It’s Alvin Kamara, of course.
The dude has just been a flat-out cash cow with this receiving prop this season.
Right now, Kamara is listed with a receiving yardage total of 34.5 against the atrocious Carolina Panthers. Right off the hop, OddsShopper’s model (use code NATHAN to get 20% off if you wanna try it out) lists this as one of the best positive EV bets on the board with an expected win rate of 53%.
I think we’re going to see that expected win rate rise over the course of the weekend, and we’re probably going to lose value as people react to the market. But, right now, we’re getting it at -110, so you’re going to want to go fire this baby up at bet365 RIGHT NOW!
It’s no secret that New Orleans is basically banged up all over, especially in the receiving corps, which is part of why this Kamara prop sticks out as such a great bet. He’s earned 20 targets over the last three games, and has 58, 50 and 33 yards in those games as well.
Now, if you’re telling me I’m getting upwards of seven targets against a team like the Panthers, I’m taking the over on yards every day of the week — and twice on Sunday.
