Skip to content
Categories NFL

Expert Week 2 NFL Picks: Falcons Run Game Is The Real Deal (September 17)

Updated September 17, 2023 | 7:19 am CDT by Dave Loughran

Week 2 is bringing some interesting matchups following the drama-filled Week 1. Here we will turn to OddsShopper to find some expert Week 2 NFL picks, including the Falcons and Bills in solid matchups as they look to build upon Week 1 results. Let’s dive in.

Expert Week 2 Picks: Falcons, Bills & More

Looking for more 2023 NFL predictions? try it out for Week 2 now!

Green Bay Packers-Atlanta Falcons (-1.5)

Aaron Jones or Christian Watson are unlikely to play on Sunday, which neuters a  decent but not great Packers offense, and it’ll be tough to see them jump out to a big lead like they did against the Bears. I’m also not convinced that they’ve bolstered their run defense enough to successfully slow down a barrage of rushing attempts from Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier.

The Falcons offensive line is more equipped to handle this matchup than the Bears were, and defensively they’ve made some noticeable additions that should help to keep games close. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them dominate time of possession at home, lean on the run and get just enough pressure on Jordan Love to make life difficult—especially if he’s missing his top two playmakers.

Expert Week 2 Pick: Falcons

Best Spread Line: -1.5 on Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM

Best Moneyline: -122 on DraftKings

React App

New York Jets vs. Dallas Cowboys (38.5 Total)

No one should view this game through just one lens; on one hand, Aaron Rodgers is done for the year and Zach Wilson is objectively bad. The Jets offense has virtually no chance of staying competitive if it finds itself in an early hole on Sunday. On the other hand, the Jets defense is legitimately dominant and is capable of keeping this Cowboys offense at bay for at least most of this game. There’s also the added wrinkle of whether or not Wilson can play turnover-free football. If he can and the Jets can pick up yards on the ground with Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook, the end result will be a Jets defeat but not a particularly embarrassing one.

Ultimately, this will be a war of attrition between a strong Cowboys offense and an elite Jets defense, with the Cowboys wearing them down towards the end. But unless Wilson shines as the Cowboys’ best player (not a typo) and hands them the ball inside the red zone multiple times, I wouldn’t expect the Jets to crumble.

That’s why I’m targeting the under; you could quite easily see a 24-10 or 21-7 Cowboys victory where they cover the spread but the game soars under the total. I have enough respect for the Jets defense and such little respect for their offense that, even at 38.5 points, I’m willing to go under.

Expert Week 2 Pick: Under

Best Line: Under 38.5 on Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills (-8)

I’m not worried about the Bills — not yet at least. Josh Allen’s last three meetings with the Jets were all equally underwhelming, so I’m not at all surprised to have seen him struggle last Monday. He forced some balls and made some mistakes, but to indict Allen on his performance without crediting the Jets seems foolish.

The Raiders are not the same type of threat this Sunday; they aren’t particularly well coached, and if they do fall behind early in games, Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have a hard time clawing back. Jakobi Meyers is doubtful to play with a concussion, and on defense it doesn’t look like Chandler Jones will be back anytime soon either. Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams are studs, but pound-for-pound the Raiders can’t stack up to the Bills as a team.

A bounce-back performance for Allen and the Bills seems likely at home against a much softer opponent than they faced in week 1. If they come out flat this week and it becomes evident that something clearly isn’t working, I’ll more than happily reevaluate. But until then, I’m going to approach this team the same way I did in each of the last three years, where they were perennially one of the best offenses and defenses in football.

Expert Week 2 Pick: Bills

Best Line: -8 on Caesars Sportsbook

Categories NFL
NFL Week 2 Anytime Touchdown Bets: Picks for Chargers-Titans, Colts Texans & More (Sept. 17)
Best NFL Week 2 Prop Bets: Justin Fields Stands Out at FanDuel
Avatar

Author

Dave Loughran

Next Story

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Trending & Related

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the Super Bowl

Super Bowl Best Bets: Lindy’s NFL Leans, Likes & Locks

Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Best Bets for Super Bowl LIX

Betting 101

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?

3 Betting Mistakes That Portfolio EV Catches Instantly (And How It Fixes Them)

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 20, 2025 2:17 pm | Dave Loughran
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
May 20, 2025 2:10 pm | Isaiah Sirois
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
May 20, 2025 10:12 am | Sam Smith
How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200
May 16, 2025 7:11 am | Greg Ehrenberg
You Don’t Need to Be a Genius to Beat the Books — Just the Right Tools
April 26, 2025 8:15 am | Dave Loughran
NBA Playoffs Are Heating Up — And Portfolio EV s Are Cashing In
April 22, 2025 3:02 pm | Sam Smith

Related Articles

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the Super Bowl
February 9, 2025 10:26 am | Danny Burke
Super Bowl Best Bets: Lindy’s NFL Leans, Likes & Locks
February 9, 2025 7:55 am | Eric Lindquist
How to Bet on the Super Bowl Like a Pro
February 9, 2025 7:53 am | Sam Smith
Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Best Bets for Super Bowl LIX
February 9, 2025 7:41 am | Danny Burke
DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the NFL Conference Championship
January 26, 2025 1:16 pm | Danny Burke
FREE Conference Championship Sunday NFL Pick Today: Ben’s Sharp Bet of the Day (January 26)
January 26, 2025 9:59 am | Ben Rasa

Sports Betting Without Knowing the Sport: How Market-Based +EV Betting Can Beat the Books
May 22, 2025 2:37 pm
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Anthony Edwards (May 22)
May 22, 2025 1:07 pm
PrizePicks, DraftKings Pick6 & Underdog Cheat Sheet: Best More/Less Picks Today for NBA & MLB (May 22)
May 22, 2025 10:40 am
Best ParlayPlay Promo Code Today
May 22, 2025 6:57 am
Best Sleeper Promo Code Today
May 22, 2025 6:56 am
Best Underdog Promo Code Today
May 22, 2025 6:56 am
Best Vivid Picks Promo Code Today
May 22, 2025 6:56 am
The Portfolio EV Lab Just Got a Massive Data Upgrade
May 20, 2025 2:47 pm
Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 20, 2025 2:17 pm
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
May 20, 2025 2:10 pm

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Get a promo code for UnderDog

the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes

    • Us
    • of Use
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.