Trying to decide which player props you should include on your bet slip for Taylor Swift-Travis Kelce props … all you have to do is tail and hopefully cash the ticket at the end of the game. Let’s walk through the best picks for this Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl parlay.
Chiefs-49ers +516 Parlay for Super Bowl 2024
Isiah Pacheco 3+ Receptions & Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (Super Bowl Player Prop)
For the first part of this Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl parlay, we’re going to be taking two Isiah Pacheco player props because, when we build our same game parlays, we want to tell ourselves a story and correlate it accordingly. So here are the two Pacheco bets we’re using to kick off this parlay:
- Isiah Pacheco 3+ Receptions
- Isiah Pacheco over 16.5 Receiving Yards
Now, obviously, if we think Pacheco is going to go over his receptions prop and have three-plus catches in this game, we should more than likely believe he’s going to find a way to get over his receiving yards number.
Pacheco has solidified himself as the main horse in the Chiefs running back stable and saw almost 80% of the snaps against Baltimore two weeks ago. It should be more of the same this week, especially having a few weeks to nurse that toe injury he’s been dealing with.
The 49ers allow over five receptions and 35 yards per game to opposing running backs. And last week, Lions running backs combined for five catches and 31 yards.
We’re going to see Kansas City in a script where it’s going to need to throw the ball some, especially if it’s trailing late and needing to make a drive down the field, which could mean a few extra opportunities for Pacheco.
Noah Gray Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (Super Bowl Player Prop)
This probably isn’t a Super Bowl prop bet you’ve heard many people talking about because, well, it’s a Noah Gray player prop. But it definitely sticks out to me.
Mostly because we’ve seen Gray be on the field for plenty of snaps recently. He has played almost 60% of the snaps in back-to-back games this postseason. If nothing else, it shows you that Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes trust him to be out there in important situations.
In those two games where his snaps have increased dramatically, he’s seen 8 targets — including five targets against the Ravens in the AFC Championship game.
Now, he didn’t crack this 11.5 number on his pair of catches against Baltimore, but he’s more than capable of clearing this yardage prop on one catch.
In fact, he’s had a reception longer than 11.5 yards 12 times this season, which includes the first two playoff games against the Dolphins and Bills.
If you’re looking for some other action this weekend, bet365 is offering a host of great Super Bowl props! This one has Travis Kelce at +4000 to score one of the first two touchdowns of the game — which seems like great value to us. And if you’re looking to find the highest-EV Super Bowl bets, OddsShopper has the No. 1 projections out there! Click here to see if bet365 is legal in your state.
Chiefs +3.5 (Super Bowl Prediction)
OK. We’ve reached the final leg of our Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl parlay, and it only feels right to have some sort of spread pick included.
You already know there’s a game script where the Chiefs need to throw the ball, which would tell you they’re trailing for some, or most, of the game.
The way I predict the Chiefs-49ers Super Bowl goes like this:
- 49ers jump out to an early lead
- Chiefs are forced to throw the ball more than expected
- Chiefs are trailing in the second half
- Mahomes leads a fourth quarter scoring drive
- Brock Purdy has to make a drive late to win the game
So with that, I’m going to buy an extra point on this spread and tease the Chiefs up to +3.5.
Mahomes will lead a semi-late fourth quarter drive to either tie the game or take the lead, and all that’s left is Purdy to try to dethrone the GOAT.
Should Purdy lead a last-minute drive and get the 49ers in field goal position to win the game — this is especially huge if the game is tied — we’re still covered if the 49ers pull of the win by 3 points.
There you have it. Our Chiefs-49ers +516 Super Bowl parlay. Let’s end the year with a bang.
Chiefs-49ers +516 Super Bowl Parlay
Leg 1: Isiah Pacheco Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (Super Bowl Prop)
Leg 2: Isiah Pacheco 3+ Receptions (Super Bowl Prop)
Leg 3: Noah Gray Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (Super Bowl Prop)
Leg 4: Chiefs +3.5 (Super Bowl Pick)
= +516 at FanDuel Sportsbook
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