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Best PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions: Tony Pollard a Top Play (January 14)

Updated January 14, 2024 | 3:45 am CDT by Tim Speros

It’s Wild Card weekend in the NFL, and there’s no better way to celebrate than winning some money on PrizePicks. Saturday was pretty wild. Not only did the Texans upset the Browns as 2.5-point underdogs, but they also blew them out 45-14. The Chiefs beat the cold and the Dolphins 26-7, and the Bills-Steelers game got postponed to Monday. Let’s see if Sunday can beat that. We have two NFC games today, kicking off with Packers-Cowboys in Dallas at 4:30 PM ET with a 50.5 total. The Cowboys are favored by 7.5 points. In the nightcap at 8:15 PM ET, we have Rams-Lions, a matchup of two quarterbacks who were traded for each other. Detroit is a 3-point home favorite while the game has a 51.5-point total.

Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of PrizePicks guide can help you make the sharpest plays possible.

PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions: Tony Pollard & More

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Tony Pollard M/L 14.5 Fantasy Score

Tony Pollard averaged 13.3 fantasy points per game on the season and gets a favorable matchup against the Green Bay Packers. The Packers allowed 18 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs, leading to 22.6 fantasy points per game.

Green Bay allowed 3.4 red zone scoring attempts per game, which ranked 24th, while the Cowboys led the NFL with 4.2 Red Zone scoring attempts per game. Pollard led the team in touches and ranked sixth in the NFL with 307. Dallas has the highest implied team total of 28.75, and as 7-point home favorites, Pollard should get his 18+ touches.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: Tony Pollard More Than 14.5 Fantasy Score


Amon-Ra St. Brown M/L 19.5 Fantasy Score

Amon-Ra St. Brown hauled in 119 receptions, which ranked third in the NFL. His 94.7 yards per game and 10 touchdowns led to 22.4 fantasy points per game. He gets a favorable matchup against the Rams, who allowed 38.2 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, the 8th most in the NFL.

The 51.5 game total is the highest of the NFL Wild Card Weekend and will not be affected by weather since it’s in a dome. The Lions and Rams both ranked top 12 in Red Zone scoring chances this season. The Lions ran the second-most plays per game at 66.9 for the season. This game has all the makings of a high-scoring shootout, and the “Sun God” should be the center of that.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: Amon-Ra St. Brown More Than 19.5 Fantasy Score


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Luke Musgrave M/L 18.5 Receiving Yards

Less than 18.5 receiving yards for Luke Musgrave is the top play on OddsShopper right now. PrizePicks standard odds are -118, while this play has true odds of -134 and a 5% EV. Other books have this projection ranging from 15.5 – 17.5 yards.

The Packers are 7-point underdogs in Dallas with a 21.75 implied team total. After missing seven games with an injury, Luke Musgrave returned to the lineup in Week 18, running just six routes and catching one . In his absence, Tucker Kraft emerged as a good catcher and may be the more targeted tight end today. Musgrave averaged 32 yards in 11 games this season but gets a tough matchup against an elite Dallas defense. The Cowboys were stingy to tight ends this year, allowing just 3.1 receptions and the third-fewest receiving yards per game.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: Luke Musgrave 18.5 Less Than Receiving Yards


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Tim Speros

Author

Tim Speros

Tim Speros is a sports betting analyst and a distinguished DFS writer for OddsShopper and Stokastic. With over 15 years of experience in the sports industry, Tim has a ion for educating and entertaining others through sports. Before ing our team, Tim worked in player development for the NBA league office, served as an NBA statistician for the Golden State Warriors, and contributed to various fantasy sports content providers. Tim holds a bachelor’s degree from Boston College and a Master’s in Sports Management from Georgetown. When he’s not chasing his three kids around, he enjoys chasing the 30x flex plays on PrizePicks.

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