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Best PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions: Aaron Jones a Top Play (Jan. 7)

Updated January 7, 2024 | 12:19 pm CDT by Tim Speros

Are you ready to close out the NFL regular season with a bang? Week 18 brings us 14 games this Sunday with four totals over 45 points. We have three teams playing for two playoff spots in the AFC and six teams playing for two spots in the NFC. The slate is highlighted by a 47.5 total for Cardinals-Seahawks in Seattle while we have a 30.5 total in Foxboro for Jets-Patriots. New England is expected to have up to 12 inches of snow on the ground by game-time in what could be Bill Belichick’s last game coaching the Patriots. Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of OddsShopper’s NFL PrizePicks Optimizer and thorough research, we’ve got you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NFL picks and player predictions for January 6 starting with, Aaron Jones.

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PrizePicks NFL Player Predictions: Aaron Jones & More

Aaron Jones M/L 17.5 Receiving Yards

Aaron Jones has been the -catching back for the Packers all season when healthy, averaging 8.1 receiving yards per game. He’s caught a in all 10 games he’s played and had a season high of 86 receiving yards in Week 1 against the Bears. Well, he’ll get to bookend his season with another matchup with the Bears in Week 18. The Packers are playing for a playoff spot and are 3-point home favorites against the 7-9 Bears.

Taking a look at OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool we have a 4% EV rating with true odds of -130 on the over. Every other book has this projection at 19.5 and juiced to the over. The tools say its a good bet and so do the numbers as the Bears allow 60.8 receiving yards to opposing running backs, the most in the NFL by a wide margin.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: Aaron Jones More Than 17.5 Receiving Yards

Jalin Hyatt M/L 20.5 Receiving Yards

Jalin Hyatt is the top play on OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool. With an 8% EV rating and true odds of -143, we see that most other other books have this projection between 21.5 and 22.5 with all of them juiced to the over. The Giants are 4-point home underdogs against the Eagles who have allowed the most targets, receptions, and touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.

Last week Hyatt logged a season high 57 snaps in the 26-25 loss to the Rams. He’s averaging 16.7 yards per game and had a season high five receptions and 109 yards in Week 12. The Ceiling is there for Hyatt in a great matchup against the Eagles.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: Jalin Hyatt More 20.5 Receiving Yards


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James Conner M/L 14 Fantasy Score

The Cardinals are 3-point home underdogs to the NFC West division rival Seahawks, who are still playing for a playoff spot. James Conner has been a consistent bright spot for the Cardinals offense averaging 19.2 fantasy points over the last five games. Conner has carried the ball 25+ times twice in the last four games and has nine targets over his last three games. He should have a busy day in a favorable matchup against Seattle who allows 27.2 fantasy points per game to running backs, third most in the NFL.

With Kyler Murray at quarterback, the Cardinals have scored 26.7 points per game in the last three weeks, seven points more than their 19.6 season average. The 47.5 total for this game is the highest of the day and in a good matchup, Conner beats his projection.

Best PrizePicks NFL Player Prediction: James Conner More Than 14 Fantasy Score

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Tim Speros

Author

Tim Speros

Tim Speros is a sports betting analyst and a distinguished DFS writer for OddsShopper and Stokastic. With over 15 years of experience in the sports industry, Tim has a ion for educating and entertaining others through sports. Before ing our team, Tim worked in player development for the NBA league office, served as an NBA statistician for the Golden State Warriors, and contributed to various fantasy sports content providers. Tim holds a bachelor’s degree from Boston College and a Master’s in Sports Management from Georgetown. When he’s not chasing his three kids around, he enjoys chasing the 30x flex plays on PrizePicks.

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