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UFC Fight Night: Evan Elder-Genaro Valdez Odds and Prediction

July 14, 2023 | 12:33 PM by Matt Gajewski

At UFC Fight Night, Evan Elder takes on Genaro Valdez as a -300 favorite, and both fighters are 0-2 in the UFC. In this post, we’ll be looking at some Evan Elder-Genaro Valdez picks and make a prediction for the fight.

Looking for other UFC Fight Night best bets? There’s a lot more going on than just our Evan Elder-Genaro Valdez prediction. Use our industry-leading best bets tool to get ahead! If you’re looking for the DFS side of things, Stokastic has MMA projections, UFC ownership, and UFC top fighters data!

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UFC Fight Night: Evan Elder-Genaro Valdez Prediction and Odds

Evan Elder vs. Genaro Valdez Odds

Evan Elder: -300 | Genaro Valdez: +230

Valdez lost his most recent bouts against Matt Frevola and Natan Levy. Similarly, Elder suffered defeat against Nazim Sadykhov and Preston Parson. Now both of these fighters will look for a victory in hopes of extending their UFC careers.

Elder has a professional record of 7-2. Elder comes from a diverse mixed martial arts background, with the capability to blend multiple disciplines. He lands 3.78 significant strikes while absorbing 5.42. On the ground, he averages 0.59 takedowns with 12% accuracy. Troublingly, he has 28% takedown defense and has allowed five takedowns through two fights. He has four knockouts and one submission among his seven professional victories.

On the other side, Valdez also comes from a diverse background. At 10-2, he has seven knockouts and three submissions. Within the UFC, he lands 3.96 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 7.63. Much of that came in a beat down at the hands of ranked fighter Frevola. On the ground, he averages 2.5 takedowns per bout at 44% accuracy. However, this has been a weakness at times. Valdez allowed six takedowns to Levy, putting his takedown defense at 40%.

This fight has a chance to get greasy given the body of work from these two fighters. It is hard to back Elder as a -300 favorite over anyone right now, even if his most recent loss came as a result of a doctor’s stoppage. This puts some value on Valdez as a +230 underdog here. However, this fight is as volatile as they come.

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