It’s time to release our UFC 292 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 292 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Zhang Weili-Amanda Lemos pick and prediction.
With the women’s strawweight title on the line, Zhang Weili defends her belt against Amanda Lemos as a -310 favorite. Zhang most recently defeated Carla Esparza via submission, beginning her second reign as undisputed champion. Lemos punched her championship opportunity with a knockout win over Marina Rodriguez in November of last year.
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UFC 292 Predictions: Zhang Weili-Amanda Lemos
Best UFC 292 Bets: Zhang Weili vs. Amanda Lemos Odds
Zhang Weili: Opened -350, Now -310 | Amanda Lemos: Opened +260, Now +250
Now a two-time champion, Zhang lands 5.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.06. She has also added a solid ground game to her arsenal, landing 1.97 takedowns per bout and 66% takedown defense on the other side. Most recently, she defended three of four takedowns from an elite wrestler in Carla Esparza while surrendering just 55 seconds of control time. Zhang has a 23-3 professional record, losing only to Rose Namajunas since her professional debut.
Lemos is one of the most lethal strikers in this division. She has a 13-2-1 professional record with eight knockout wins and three submissions. In the UFC, she lands 4.51 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.97. She also averages 1.12 takedowns per bout and 81% takedown defense. Now 7-2 in the Octagon, Lemos has only lost to Jessica Andrade since her UFC debut.
All in all, Zhang has a slew of advantages. She is the more technical striker and should be able to avoid the power of Lemos. She also cleaned up most of the ground deficiencies from earlier in her career. Finally, she has been competing against the top of the division for years now, while Lemos has fought up and down the roster. Even at -310, Zhang deserves to come in as a heavy favorite.
