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UFC 292 Predictions: Neil Magny-Ian Garry Pick and Odds

August 19, 2023 | 9:15 AM by Matt Gajewski

It’s time to release our UFC 292 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 292 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Neil Magny-Ian Garry pick and prediction.

Originally scheduled to face Geoff Neal, Ian Garry will now take on late replacement Neil Magny as a -485 favorite. Garry has a perfect 5-0 record within the UFC, most recently knocking out Daniel Rodriguez in the first round back in May. Magny also comes off a win, defeating Phil Rowe by split decision in June of this year.

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UFC 292 Predictions: Neil Magny-Ian Garry

Best UFC 292 Bets: Neil Magny vs. Ian Garry Odds

Neil Magny: Opened +285, Now +370 | Ian Garry: Opened -360, Now -485

Garry has a black belt in judo, but he continues to add skills at just 25 years of age. He has a perfect 12-0 record with seven knockouts and one submission. Within the UFC, Garry lands 6.85 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.09. He only lands 0.29 takedowns per bout, but he defends them at 63%. When he has been taken down, Garry generally works back to his feet with urgency. This will be Garry’s toughest test to date, but he has answered every question so far.

Magny has a 28-10 professional record and a wrestling background, earning seven knockouts and four submissions. He has been knocked out twice and submitted six times. However, almost all of these losses came to the top of the division. His last two defeats came at the hands of Gilbert Burns and Shavkat Rakhmonov. In the cage, he lands 3.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.25. He also scores 2.3 takedowns per bout while defending them at 56%.

Magny has faced much tougher competition. However, he has fallen short against most of these opponents. With that said, Magny should have the wrestling edge. Garry has a striking advantage, but the -485 price leaves plenty to be desired. Even with the short-notice aspect of this fight working against Magny, sprinkling the underdog at +370 deserves consideration.

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