It’s time to release our UFC 291 predictions. Using industry-leading tools and data, let’s get on with it by providing our Matthew Semelsberger-Uros Medic pick using the latest odds.
Matthew Semelsberger faced Uros Medic as a -165 favorite. Now 5-3 in the UFC, Semelsberger comes off a split decision loss to Jeremiah Wells in April. Medic is 2-1 in the UFC after defeating Omar Morales in May of last year. This fight should feature a lot of action as both participants love to pressure.
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UFC 291 Prediction: Matthew Semelsberger-Uros Medic Pick
Matthew Semelsberger-Uros Medic Odds
Matthew Semelsberger: -165 | Uros Medic: +140
Semelsberger comes from a wrestling background and played college football at Marist College. He has developed a fairly well-rounded game over the years, landing 4.05 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.21. He possesses solid 56% striking defense, which should ease any concerns regarding the negative striking ratio.
On the mat, he lands 1.16 takedowns on average and 70% accuracy. However, he has been outgrappled at times, evidenced by his 52% takedown defense. Most recently, Wells landed six takedowns on Semelsberger and controlled him for over 11 minutes. At 11-5 overall, Semelsberger has six knockouts and one submission victory.
Medic has a diverse mixed martial arts background that includes wrestling, kickboxing and Brazilian jiu-jitsu. He lands 8.14 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.76. Medic has never landed a takedown in the UFC, but he has also only been taken down once. This came against Jalin Turner, resulting in his only professional loss. Medic is 8-1 with six knockout wins and another two submissions. With that said, his lack of UFC statistics could cloud some of his skills for now.
Our final Matthew Semelsberger-Uros Medic pick: This should be an all-action fight from the jump. Semelsberger has fought the tougher competition to this point, but the gap is not wide. Medic appears to have the tools to neutralize Semelsberger wherever the fight may go. For that reason, throwing a dart on Medic at +140 makes the most sense.
