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Chargers-Chiefs Player Prop for Week 7: Best Patrick Mahomes Bet (Oct. 22)

Updated October 22, 2023 | 3:08 pm CDT by Nathan Joyce

When you think of the Kansas City Chiefs, you think of no one else but Patrick Mahomes. And if you said Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, you can GTFO. This is a Swfit-free zone. Are we good to move on? Now, where was I? Ah, yes. I was in the middle of telling you how I discovered a OddsShopper’s shop pages!

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Chargers-Chiefs Player Prop Bet for NFL Week 7

Chargers-Chiefs Information 

Expert: Nathan Joyce
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Oct. 22 at 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Mo.
Who: Patrick Mahomes at FanDuel

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Chargers-Chiefs Player Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes

I’ve bet this Patrick Mahomes player prop quite a few times already this year, and even I was stunned to see it had been a winning pick in five of six games. However, it probably shouldn’t be that surprising. Mahomes is pretty much a god and can do no wrong.

The Week 7 Chargers-Chiefs player prop I love the most is Patrick Mahomes over 24.5 rushing yards. Yes, indeed, Mahomes has gone over this bet 83% of the time this year and has rushed for 28 yards or fewer in one game all season. So, he’s not just covering the number, he’s clearing it by a pretty significant amount. The lone game he didn’t cash this prop? Week 5 against the Minnesota Vikings where he, inexplicably, ran zero times. That’s definitely an outlier.

Hungry for more? Check out the rest of our NFL player props for Week 7! ➚➚

The Chargers have faced five statues at quarterback so far this year, with the most mobile likely being Tua Tagovailoa, you know, the guy who has an extensive injury history and the hips of a 70-year-old man. Mahomes has been quick to take off, in part because of the trash the Chiefs have been running out at wide receiver all year. What else can he do but throw it to Travis Kelce, hand it off or run out of harm’s way when these receivers refuse to get open?

Furthermore, Mahomes has played the Chargers nine times in his career and has gone over the 24-yard mark four times. He also has a pair of games with 21 or more. So, that’s six games with 21 or more rushing yards. He knows this defense well and is very capable. He is averaging just under five rushes per game and is right at 6.5 yards per carry. As long as we don’t get the zero-rush outlier game, I think we should see Mahomes scamper his way to another cash this week.

Best NFL Week 7 Player Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 Rushing Yards -114 at FanDuel

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Nathan Joyce

Author

Nathan Joyce

Sports betting is supposed to be 2 things: — Profitable — Fun Follow me on Twitter (@nd_joyce) and TikTok (NRFI_Nathan) for all of my picks.

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