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Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Aaron Gordon (April 21)

Updated April 22, 2025 | 8:02 am CDT by Danny Burke

Monday Night’s NBA slate features two first-round playoff games. Let’s take a look at a pair of props for tonight’s games with my two favorite NBA Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions.

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Aaron Gordon H/L 16.5 Points

Following a 25-point performance and a win, the hype around Aaron Gordon is high.

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But despite the buzz, his points prop is set at 16.5 — and Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections have him finishing with just 15.8.

I’m expecting Gordon to come back down to earth a bit in of his scoring and like targeting the under in this spot. Let’s not forget — the Clippers finished the season 3rd in Points Allowed per 100 Possessions and 7th in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage.

With Jamal Murray working back into the mix and L.A. likely tightening up defensively in Game 2, I expect Gordon’s scoring to take a step back.

Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Aaron Gordon Lower Than 16.5 Points

Jalen Duren H/L Than 11.5 Points

In the first meeting of this Eastern Conference series, Pistons big man Jalen Duren was held to just seven points. Tonight, his points prop is set at 11.5 — and I’m targeting the under.

Duren attempted only four shots in Game 1, though he did knock down three of them. Still, scoring has never been his strength, and I don’t expect that to change in a must-win playoff environment — especially with Karl-Anthony Towns and Mitchell Robinson patrolling the paint.

Let’s hit the under before this number adjusts as the series goes on.

Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Jalen Duren Lower Than 11.5 Points

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Danny Burke

Author

Danny Burke

Danny Burke is a betting analyst at OddsShopper and has been involved in sports media for the past 10 years. He began his career while attending the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where he shared his picks weekly on the local ESPN . After graduating, Burke made his mark in Las Vegas, hosting various shows for VSiN. He then returned to his hometown of Chicago, where he launched "Rush Hour," the first-ever daily sports betting show to broadcast from an Illinois casino. Additionally, Burke co-hosted “Props & Locks,” which was the first betting segment to air during the Bears’ pregame show on Fox32 Chicago, and ran the program “Bet On, Chicago,'' on WLS-AM 890.

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