With the NBA back in action for the third day of the season, teams are starting to shake off the rust. That said, this evening marks the season opener for a few teams, including the Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks. Before you leave, read through our guides to NBA player prop betting strategy to refine your process. Without further delay, let’s dive into the top NBA player prop picks and predictions for today, Thursday, October 24, including a bet for Jamal Murray.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Thursday, October 24
Last season, we went unlock a week of our picks for $1!
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Thursday, October 24
When betting on the NBA, do you have a thought-out sports betting strategy you run through before finding or placing bets? If you do, are you tracking your results? Those two steps — applying a consistent approach and keeping tabs on outcomes — are crucial to becoming a profitable sports bettor.
But developing a consistent method to find winning bets (and keeping track of all the results) is an incredibly labor-intensive process. Trust me, I’ve built Portfolio EV.
Portfolio EV cooked the sportsbooks for a 34,701-28,301 (7.6% ROI) record on NBA props just one season ago. You can find all of our mass entry tool.
To help you get started constructing your profitable portfolio of NBA player prop bets, tail these plays:
When this article went live, these three wagers were some of the top NBA player props for today, per Portfolio EV. Of course, this is subject to change: As the lines move, so too does the value. Click here for updated +EV NBA bets!
Our model works by taking in the odds from every sportsbook to calculate the true odds (read: a breakeven point) for each wager. Once we have that, if we spot sportsbooks taking action for longer odds, we know those bets have +EV.
Allow to illustrate this by diving into the numbers behind the Derrick White bet. White’s assists prop total of 4.5 is fair, but the under will cost you only -106 at FanDuel but is -130 or worse everywhere else.
In this case, our tools believe a fair price for this Derrick White bet is -119, largely due to (a) the market trading between -130 (DraftKings) and -150 (Fliff) and (b) Pinnacle, a sharp offshore, taking action on this down at -138.
Running all those numbers on your own to calculate such a breakeven price would be a huge time sink (and likely impossible if you were manually importing the odds). But instead of burning hours making projections or crunching numbers on your own, you can get 100-plus +EV bets down in that time with our mass entry tool.
Again, make sure to check out get your first week for just $1 by using code “DUNK” until October 27.
