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Tom Aspinall-Marcin Tybura Pick, Prediction and Odds

Updated July 22, 2023 | 8:09 am CDT by Matt Gajewski

With UFC fight night looming, it’s time to make our Tom Aspinall-Marcin Tybura prediction and pick by using the latest odds and industry-leading tools.

Finally making long-awaited return, Tom Aspinall will face Marcin Tybura as a -450 favorite in the men’s heavyweight division. Last time out, Aspinall suffered an injury against Curtis Blaydes that caused him to take a whole year off. Prior to that, Aspinall held a perfect 5-0 record in the UFC. Meanwhile, Tybura enters this fight on a two-fight winning streak, capped off by a decision win over Blagoy Ivanov in February.

Looking for other UFC Fight Night best bets? There’s a lot more going on than just our Tom Aspinall-Marcin Tybura prediction. Use our industry-leading best bets tool to get ahead! If you’re looking for the DFS side of things, Stokastic has MMA projections, UFC ownership, and UFC top fighters data!

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Tom Aspinall-Marcin Tybura Pick, Prediction and Odds 

Tom Aspinall-Marcin Tybura Odds

Tom Aspinall: -450 | Marcin Tybura: +340

Aspinall has extensive training in boxing, wrestling and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, where he has a black belt. Aspinall lands 7.41 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.87. He also averages four takedowns per fight and defends them at 100%. Of his 12 wins, Aspinall has nine knockouts and a pair of submissions.

Tybura also has a diverse skill set. On the feet, he lands 3.55 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.31. Tybura scores 1.39 takedowns per bout and defends them at 79%. It should be noted that Tybura has not had any quality wins within the last three years. Greg Hardy, Walt Harris and Alexandr Romanov have all proven to be frauds, while Ivanov is simply past his prime. Tybura’s most recent loss came against Alexander Volkov, who Aspinall absolutely smoked.

Ultimately, Aspinall enters this bout as the largest favorite on the entire card, and for good reason. For those weary of his -450 betting line, look to the prop markets later in the week. Under 2.5 rounds and Aspinall via knockout should provide pretty juicy returns.

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