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Montana De La Rosa-J.J. Aldrich Pick, Prediction and Odds

October 06, 2023 | 10:28 AM by Matt Gajewski

With UFC Fight Night quickly approaching, using industry-leading tools, it’s time to release our Montana De La Rosa-J.J. Aldrich pick, prediction, odds and more!

Montana De La Rosa-J.J. Aldrich Pick, Prediction and Odds

Montana De La Rosa: -140 | J.J. Aldrich: +115

Kicking off this UFC fight night, Montana De La Rosa fights J.J. Aldrich as a -140 favorite in the women’s flyweight division. De La Rosa has now dropped two straight fights, including her most recent bout in February at the hands of Tatiana Suarez. Conversely, Aldrich knocked out Na Liang in August after losing her two previous bouts.

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De La Rosa enters this fight as the younger, more experienced athlete. She has a 12-8 professional record but sits at 5-4-1 in the UFC. Of her wins, De La Rosa has one knockout and eight submissions on the resume. She has also been knocked out once and submitted twice. De La Rosa has a Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, evidenced by her eight submissions. She also lands 1.94 takedowns per bout while defending them at 64%. She also lands 2.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.06.

On the other side, Aldrich has a 12-6 professional record at 31 years old. She has three knockout victories, while she has been knocked out once and submitted twice. Aldrich has a striking background, and she lands 4.02 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.54. Despite the negative striking ratio, her 60% striking defense ranks among the best in the division. On the mat, she averages 0.77 takedowns per bout but only defends them at 65%.

This bout presents a clash of styles between two fighters who have struggled against the elite opponents within the division. De La Rosa should have the advantage on the mat, while Aldrich should have the edge in striking exchanges. Aldrich has also gotten the better of some Brazilian jiu-jitsu fighters like Gillian Robertson, making her an underdog to target at the +115 price tag.

Best Montana De La Rosa-J.J. Aldrich Pick: J.J. Aldrich +115

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