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Alexander Hernandez-Bill Algeo Pick, Prediction and Odds

October 06, 2023 | 8:00 PM by Matt Gajewski

With UFC Fight Night quickly approaching, using industry-leading tools, it’s time to release our Alexander Hernandez-Bill Algeo pick, prediction, odds and more!

Alexander Hernandez-Bill Algeo Pick, Prediction and Odds

Alexander Hernandez: +115 | Bill Algeo: -140

In the men’s featherweight division, Alexander Hernandez takes on Bill Algeo as +115 underdog. After a pair of losses, Hernandez found a victory over Jim Miller via decision back in February. Algeo won his most recent fight over T.J. Brown via submission back in April.

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Hernandez has a 14-6 professional record featuring six knockouts and two submissions. In defeat, he has been knocked out three times and submitted once. Most of these losses came against the top of the featherweight division in the UFC. Hernandez has a wrestling background but has developed into a well-rounded fighter.

In the Octagon, he lands 1.38 takedowns per bout while defending them at 63%. On the feet, Hernandez lands 4.57 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.53. Despite the 56% striking defense, Hernandez has been susceptible to the larger shots from opponents on numerous occasions.

Algeo is 34 with a 17-7 record. He has four knockouts and seven submissions on the profile while losing via submission just twice. Algeo also has a wrestling background, but he has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. In the UFC, he only scores 0.87 takedowns per bout while defending them at 55%, and he lands 5.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.32.

Hernandez has the more difficult strength of schedule, but he has routinely fallen short in those bouts. Algeo also has the skill set to neutralize Hernandez’s strengths and potentially take advantage on the feet. He will also weaponize his cardio, which can help win rounds. At -140, Algeo will be the official pick.

Best Alexander Hernandez-Bill Algeo Pick: Bill Algeo -140

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