Who doesn’t love baseball? We all do now, especially with the NBA and NHL seasons in the books. Yesterday’s OddsShopper’s market-based model, for the games you can watch on national television today, including one for Freddie Freeman.
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Best MLB Player Props to Watch Today: Freddie Freeman, Francisco Alvarez
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets | 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
I’ve got some other thoughts — and a pick, of course — regarding the second round of the Subway Series OddsShopper’s market-based model actually come from this game as well.
The Yankees will start RHP Gerrit Cole (7-1) tonight. Although Cole owns an impressive 2.84 ERA, his 4.03 xERA suggests he isn’t as unbeatable as that number makes it appear. One member of the New York Mets offense stands out against him.
Catcher Francisco Alvarez should get the best of Cole this evening — at least once. Alvarez owns odds of OddsShopper’s model thinks a fair price is -168 (62.7%), so we’re getting enough value here to warrant putting some action down.
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Best MLB Player Prop: Francisco Alvarez To Record a Hit -150 at FanDuel
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | 10:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
After the Yankees-Mets game wraps up, ESPN will flip the action over to the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers took the first game of this series with a commanding 5-1 win that saw two L.A. batters hit home runs in the first inning.
The Chicago White Sox have a righty-heavy rotation and bullpen, and tonight’s starting pitcher, RHP Mike Clevinger (3-4), is no exception. Clevinger owns an acceptable 4.19 ERA, but his 4.75 xERA suggests that that number is a bit inflated.
I expect the Dodgers’ left-handed batters to step up both tonight and during this series. We already saw a home run from David Peralta last night. Clevinger has surrendered 23 hits and an OPS of .833 to left-handed batters this season as well.
Freddie Freeman didn’t do much in the first game of this series. He walked once and struck out twice across four plate appearances. However, Freeman owns an elite .989 OPS in games against right-handed starters. Although he has just one career hit in nine plate appearances against Clevinger, that hit was a home run.
Let’s back Freeman to record at least two bases tonight for BetMGM? You can get first-bet insurance worth up to $1,000 when ing!
Best MLB Player Prop: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Bases +100 at BetMGM
