If you’re hunting for the best home run bet today, there’s one name that stands out above the rest: Brent Rooker. He checks every box: Elite power, a juicy matchup and favorable odds across multiple sportsbooks. But more importantly, he offers positive expected value (+EV), meaning the odds you’re getting underrate his true chance of going deep.
Let’s break down why Rooker is the best home run bet today, and how to think about these bets more like a math problem than a guess.
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Best MLB Home Run Pick Today: Brent Rooker
Rooker broke out in a big way in 2024, launching 39 home runs while slugging .562 and earning AL Silver Slugger honors. Through the early part of 2025, he’s picked up right where he left off, already notching six home runs in the first few weeks.
He has homered in almost 25% of his games with the Athletics over 300 appearances), an elite rate that puts him in the top tier of power hitters. If you’re looking for a dependable HR pick today, you want someone who’s already shown consistent long-ball production. Rooker qualifies.
Today, the A’s face Milwaukee rookie Logan Henderson, who’s making his major league debut. While Henderson has solid minor league numbers, making your first big-league start against a hitter like Rooker is no easy task.
Rooker feasts on right-handed pitching — he posted a .555 slugging percentage against righties last year — and today he gets a green light to swing with power against a pitcher with zero MLB experience. T
This game takes place in American Family Field, one of the 10 most homer-friendly parks in baseball. It’s worth noting that Rooker hit more than half of his HRs on the road last season. The venue switch helps him today.
Right now, you can find Brent Rooker to hit a home run at +350 on FanDuel. That’s an implied probability of just 22%, but given his power, matchup, and ballpark advantage, the true probability is closer to 25%-plus.
Best Home Run Pick Today: Brent Rooker (+350, FanDuel)
