Two of the most prolific teams in the MLB battle it out on Tuesday, June 6. Logan Gilbert, one of the most underrated arms in baseball, faces off against a struggling San Diego Padres offense. Let’s dive into the top Mariners-Padres bet.
Mariners-Padres Bet: Logan Gilbert O/U 16.5 Outs
An off day was much needed for the Mariners after they were swept by their AL West foe, the Texas Rangers. They used five bullpen pitchers on Sunday due to prospect Bryce Miller only going 2.1 innings. The Mariners have now dropped four of their last five games and desperately need a quality outing from their second-best starter Logan Gilbert tonight.
At first glance, bettors would want to avoid any pitcher facing off against the San Diego Padres. But they have not been that stout offense that many assumed they would be. Against righties, they are hitting at the second-worst rate in the last 30 days and are a surprising bottom 10 on-base percentage during that span. Five of the last six starters have eclipsed at least six innings against San Diego, which includes Cubs pitcher Kyle Hendricks going six innings by throwing fewer than 85 pitches.
Gilbert has gone over this line in eight of his 11 starts this season, including against power offenses like the Braves and Rangers. Even with an off day yesterday, look for the Mariners to push Gilbert tonight, who has topped off at 99 pitches this season.
We are beating the market here, as this same line is listed at -164 on Caesars Sportsbook. Expect this to close at -140 before first pitch.
Best Mariners-Padres Bet: Logan Gilbert Over 16.5 Outs (-120, DraftKings)
