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Best North Carolina Elite 8 Bet: A North Carolina State-Duke Player Prop That Won’t Burn You

Updated March 31, 2024 | 10:34 am CDT by Sam Smith

What are the chances that the very same month North Carolina launches sports betting also sees a matchup between two of its schools in the Elite 8? North Carolina State and Duke are doing the denizens proud out east. Obviously, that means we have to find the top bet for this game. Today’s best North Carolina March Madness bet is a CBB player prop from bet365, and now is a good time to remind you, North Carolina, that there are two outstanding bet365 North Carolina bonus codes waiting for you. So go sign up and place the following bet for the North Carolina State-Duke game!

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Best North Carolina Elite 8 Bet: North Carolina State-Duke

North Carolinians are a lucky bunch today. Not only are there TWO teams from the Tar Heel State playing (neither of them the Tar Heels, ironically), but the highest-value bet for any college basketball game today is a player prop from the North Carolina State-Duke game — and betting player props on college basketball is legal in North Carolina.

D.J. Burns has upped his pub since the ACC Tournament, and a Wolfpack upset over Duke will likely involve him heavily. And sure, that could mean through his playmaking. After all, Burns has dished three-plus assists in 21 of 39 games this year, including two games with seven in his last four.

These are the reasons the under on 2.5 assists for him is only getting a 45% expected win rate.

However, what we’re looking at here is market value. Burns’ under is +140 at bet365, whereas sharp book Pinnacle and OddsShopper both have these odds at +123. That leads to the under being 7.5% +EV long-term, with a recommended bet size of $17 — not a huge wager, but enough to pull a solid return should Duke limit Burns’ ing.

The Blue Devils have one of the top interior defenses in the country, so even though Burns got them for four assists in both matchups against them, regression may be headed his way. At 7.5% +EV, that’s worth a shot.

Best North Carolina Elite 8 Bet: D.J. Burns Under 2.5 Assists (+140, bet365)

Bet365 March Madness Promo: Early Payout If Team Goes Up 15+

Don’t forget about bet365’s promo that has been running throughout the tournament and will go through the title game: Early payout if the team you bet goes up at least 15!

Rather than having to pick the winner of the game, you can get your bet paid out if the team you chose gets up by at least 15 points at any point!

This applies to any pre-game single and/or parlay bet on the moneyline or game result for Men’s Tournament games. If you bet just the moneyline on, for example, Arizona for the Sweet 16 matchup against Clemson and the Wildcats go up by 15 with 10 minutes left in the first half, congrats — your bet is a winner.

Parlay legs with moneylines and/or game results will also be marked as won should the team you bet go up by 15-plus.

Now, the Burns bet above won’t do you any good here, but our bet365 lines to find the best options.

Categories News
Elite 8 Betting Predictions: Bets for North Carolina State-Duke & More (3/31/24)
Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today for Sunday, March 31
Sam Smith

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015 while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With OddsShopper, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with OddsShopper's data to bring you the best betting information possible.

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