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Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick: Rutgers-Miami Bet (Dec. 28)

December 28, 2023 | 6:32 AM by Matt Gajewski

After finishing the regular season 7-5, the Miami Hurricanes take on the 6-6 Rutgers Scarlet Knights as one point underdogs in a game with a 40.5-point total. Let’s dive into our Miami-Rutgers odds, pick and prediction for this year’s Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl. If you’re looking for more guide to betting on football.

Pinstripe Bowl Pick: Miami-Rutgers Bet

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Odds

Odds via bet365
Rutgers: -115 | Miami: -105
Rutgers -1.0: -110 | Miami +1.0: -110
Over 40.5: -110 | Under 40.5: -110
Expert: Matt Gajewski
Time:
Thursday, Dec. 28 at 2:15 p.m. ET

Miami-Rutgers News & Notes

Miami Absences: QB Tyler Van Dyke, QB Emory Williams, RB Don Chaney, WR Colbie Young, TE Jaleel Skinner, S Kamren Kinchens, S James Williams, Edge Jahfari Harvey, Edge Nyjalik Kelly, Edge Ahkeem Mesidor, Edge Chantz Williams, LB Corey Flagg

Miami Coaching Changes: N/A

Rutgers Absences: OT Kamar Missouri, OT Tyler Needham, LB Tyreem Powell

Rutgers Coaching Changes: N/A

Miami-Rutgers Comparison

Metric Miami Rutgers
Pace 103rd 126th
Overall Offense 13th 70th
Run Blocking 29th 61st
Blocking 10th 108th
Rate 43rd 122nd
Overall Defense 26th 30th
Run Defense 19th 63rd
Rush 17th 57th
Coverage 63rd 18th

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick & Prediction

A battle of middling teams in their respective conferences, Rutgers takes on Miami in a game with a one point spread. Miami will have a number of starters out for this game due to the transfer portal and NFL preparations. This explains a microscopic total, along with a slow pace on both sides.

Starting with the Rutgers offense, this unit ranked 70th overall. They are led by Gavin Wimsatt, who completed just 47.8% of his es for 6.0 yards per attempt, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Wimsatt doesn’t have many weapons and the offensive line looks suspect with a 23.1% pressure rate allowed. Lead receiver Christian Dremel finished with just 440 yards, but Kyle Monangai did rush for 1,099 out of the backfield.

The Rutgers’ offense will face a tough matchup on paper against Miami’s 26th ranked defense. This unit did lose two safeties to NFL preparations in James Williams and Kamren Kinchens. They also lost three edge players in Jahfari Harvey, Nyjalik Kelly, and Ahkeem Mesidor to the portal/injury. With that said, this unit still has three strong corners, an elite linebacker in Francisco Mauigoa, and another strong edge in Rueben Bain. While this unit will be far from 100%, they still have 5-6 elite players capable of wrecking a game plan.

On the other side, Miami lost their top two quarterbacks Emory Williams and Tyler Van Dyke to the transfer portal and injury. This will put former four-star recruit Jacurri Brown in line to start. While Brown doesn’t have much of a sample, he proved an elite rusher in high school and will play behind a top 20 offensive line. He will also have top two receivers Xavier Restrepo and Jacobly George, who each eclipsed 850 receiving yards. If all else fails, Miami also has three capable backs in Henry Parrish Jr., Mark Feltcher Jr., and Ajay Allen to fall back on.

As for the Rutgers defense, this unit finished 30th in the country but struggled to defend the run at times. The Scarlet Knights finished 63rd against the run and 18th against the . This unit struggled down the stretch, allowing over five yards per carry to Maryland’s Roman Hemby, Penn State’s Nick Singleton, and Ohio State’s TreVeyon Henderson. Even Indiana eclipsed 5.0 yards per carry against this unit. With a generous number, Miami looks capable of winning this game, despite the departures.

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Pick & Prediction and our Rutgers-Miami Bet: Miami +1.0 (-110) at bet365

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