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Georgia-Tennessee Pick, Prediction & Profit Boost (Nov. 18)

Updated November 18, 2023 | 10:21 am CDT by Isaiah Sirois

The SEC East has been decided, but the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs still have to play the No. 21 Tennessee Volunteers before they advance to the SEC championship game. The Vols haven’t had the best season and are coming off a blowout loss, but the Bulldogs have certainly looked a lot more beatable than they did in 2022. Let’s dive into the Georgia-Tennessee odds as we discuss our pick and prediction. If you’re looking for more guide to betting on football. Make sure to use your 25% profit boost for Georgia-Tennessee at DraftKings Sportsbook!

Georgia-Tennessee Pick, Prediction & DraftKings Profit Boost

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Georgia-Tennessee Odds

Odds via DraftKings
Georgia: -380 | Tennessee: +300
Georgia -10: -110 | Tennessee +10: -110
Over 58.5: -110 | Under 58.5: -105
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time:
Saturday, Nov. 18 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Georgia-Tennessee Pick & Prediction

The No. 21 Tennessee Volunteers were humiliated against the No. 11 Missouri Tigers last week, losing 36-7. It was a tale of two halves: the Vols trailed by just a field goal at halftime, but they proceeded to allow a whopping 26 unanswered points in the second half. Tennessee’s disastrous second half saw the Vols turn the ball over twice, including a pick-six, as well as miss a field goal.

Things don’t get easier for Tennessee this week. The Vols will host the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs, and they’re a 10-point home underdog. However, the Vols are an impressive 4-1 ATS at home this year, while the Dawgs are 0-2 ATS on the road.

The Volunteers are pulling out all the stops for Saturday’s game: Dolly Parton will attend the Tennessee-Georgia game and perform Rocky Top. Neyland Stadium will be rocking, and even though this season hasn’t gone as planned for the Vols, an upset win over the Bulldogs would go a long way to swing the narrative back in the right direction. Of course, the game-day environment and fans aren’t outcome-determinative, but they’re especially meaningful against teams and quarterbacks with limited experience in hostile territory.

The Bulldogs are just a squeeze overrated at this point. All of their big wins have come at home; their only true road opponents to date have been Auburn and Vanderbilt. Georgia trailed against Auburn after the first quarter, and the two teams were tied heading into the fourth. Georgia was tied against Vanderbilt after the first quarter as well, and, just one year after holding the ‘Dores to zero points and 150 yards, the Dawgs coughed up 20 points and 219 yards. Carson Beck’s career ing efficiency grade dips from 168.6 at home to 145.3 on the road.

In short, this year’s Georgia team just isn’t good enough to deserve a 10-point advantage on the road against Tennessee. Sure, we’ve seen them smother SEC opponents this year, but all of their big wins came at home or on neutral fields. Their road performances left a lot to be desired. The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) projections have this a 7.2 for Georgia, while Parker Fleming’s model makes it 2.3. You’ll find Tennessee listed at 9.5 at most books, so make sure to play this at DraftKings, where you can use a 25% profit boost on the 10.

Georgia-Tennessee Pick & Prediction:

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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