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68 Ventures Bowl Pick: South Alabama-Eastern Michigan Bet (Dec. 23)

December 22, 2023 | 9:13 AM by Matt Gajewski

After finishing the regular season 6-6, the South Alabama Jaguars take on the 6-6 Eastern Michigan Eagles as 17.0-point favorites in a game with a 46.5-point total. Let’s dive into our South Alabama-Eastern Michigan odds, pick and prediction for this year’s 68 Ventures Bowl. If you’re looking for more guide to betting on football.

68 Ventures Bowl Pick: South Alabama-Eastern Michigan Bet

68 Ventures Bowl Odds

Odds via bet365
South Alabama: -850 | Eastern Michigan: +575
South Alabama -17.0: -110 | Eastern Michigan +17.0: -110
Over 46.5: -110 | Under 46.5: -110
Expert: Matt Gajewski
Time:
Saturday, Dec. 23 at 9:00 p.m. ET

South Alabama-Eastern Michigan News & Notes

South Alabama Absence: WR Caullin Lacy, WR Devin Voisin, OL Josh McCulloch, OL Jordan Davis, RB La’Damian Webb

South Alabama Coaching Changes:

Eastern Michigan Absences: QB Austin Smith, TE Andreas Paaske, LB Mikah Coleman, S TJ Peavy, C Broderic Jordan, WR Von Swinton

Eastern Michigan Coaching Changes: N/A

South Alabama-Eastern Michigan Comparison

Metric South Alabama Eastern Michigan
Pace 55th 91st
Overall Offense 51st 114th
Run Blocking 52nd 38th
Blocking 113th 97th
Rate 51st 70th
Overall Defense 35th 34th
Run Defense 27th 21st
Rush 36th 54th
Coverage 89th 79th

68 Ventures Bowl Pick & Prediction

The worst team to reach bowl eligibility by a wide margin, the 6-6 Eastern Michigan Eagles had their issues exacerbated by transfer portal departures. While South Alabama will deal with a few departures themselves, they at least will trot out a division one roster. Eastern Michigan reached bowl eligibility with the six weakest victories of any team in the post-season.

Already unable to score, Eastern Michigan’s starting quarterback Austin Smith entered the transfer portal. This leaves Ike Udengwu to take over behind an offensive line allowing a 29.1% pressure rate. Udengwu can’t run and only completes 46.4% of his es for 3.5 yards per attempt.

Unfortunately for Udengwu, South Alabama plays solid defense, including the 27th ranked run defense and 36th ranked rush. This fully healthy unit should wreck an Eastern Michigan offensive line ranked 97th in blocking. South Alabama’s only weakness on defense comes from their 89th ranked secondary. Fortunately for them, Eastern Michigan couldn’t even throw on the worst teams in the MAC.

As for the South Alabama offense, Carter Bradley should start at quarterback after battling injury to close the year. Bradley has a solid 67.4% completion percentage for 8.1 yards per attempt, 19 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. South Alabama did lose their top two skill position players in RB La’Damian Webb and WR Caullin Lacy. However, both positions remain deep for the Jaguars, which should have no problem exploiting Eastern Michigan.

Eastern Michigan’s defense ranked 34th on paper. However, they lost LB Mikah Coleman and safety TJ Peavy. This unit also played one of the weakest strength of schedules in the entire country. They allowed 27 points to Akron, 45 to Western Michigan, 26 to Central Michigan, and even 23 to Howard. South Alabama should be able to move the ball with ease against this paper tiger.

While South Alabama should have no problem scoring, 17 points remains a lofty number for what projects to be a slow game. The top bet here will be an Eastern Michigan team total under, once available. For those making bowl selections, it is hard to fade South Alabama

68 Ventures Bowl Pick & Prediction and our South Alabama-Eastern Michigan Bet: South Alabama -17 -110 at bet365

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