Monday’s NBA slate features an eight-game slate with a handful of intriguing matchups, providing plenty of opportunities to find prop bets. Let’s take a look at a pair of props for today’s games with my two favorite NBA Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions.
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Stephen Curry H/L Than 5.5 3-Pointers Made
Entering this matchup, Stephen Curry is averaging 4.5 made three-pointers on 11.2 attempts per game, shooting 39.6% from beyond the arc.
Tonight, as the Warriors face the Hornets, the expectation is that Curry could exceed those numbers, given Charlotte’s below-average defense. The Hornets rank 21st in effective field goal percentage and 19th in points allowed per 100 possessions. More importantly, they allow the highest percentage of opponent shot attempts from three (41.5%).
However, Charlotte does a solid job contesting shots, ranking third in opponent three-point percentage (35.2%). That suggests their defense isn’t as weak as the market implies, and Curry’s three-point prop line appears inflated.
Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections have Curry knocking down just 3.5 threes tonight, reinforcing the value in fading an overvalued prop.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Stephen Curry Lower Than 5.5 3-Pointers Made
Miles Bridges H/L Than 2.5 3-Pointers Made
Let’s take another under on a player’s three-point attempts tonight—this time, an opponent of the aforementioned Curry.
Miles Bridges enters this matchup averaging 2.2 made three-pointers on 6.9 attempts per game, shooting just 32% from beyond the arc. He struggled in his last meeting with Golden State, going 0-for-5 from deep.
Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections anticipate more struggles, projecting Bridges to make just 2.1 threes. The Warriors rank 14th in opponent three-point attempts, 12th in effective field goal percentage, and 9th in points allowed per 100 possessions.
As Charlotte’s primary scorer, Bridges will draw plenty of defensive attention—especially when stationed beyond the arc—making this an appealing under.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Miles Bridges Lower Than 2.5 3-Pointers Made
