Game 1 of the NBA Finals starts tonight. Let’s take a look at a pair of props for tonight’s matchup with my two favorite NBA Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions.
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Chet Holmgren H/L Than 9.5 Rebounds
There is potential value to be had with Chet Holmgren over at DraftKings. His rebounds prop bet is listed at 9.5, while several other sportsbooks have moved the number to 8.5.
He’s averaging 8.6 per game this postseason, but presents volatility in this category. Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections have Holmgren grabbing 9 boards this evening and I fall in align with those projections.
The Pacers are a scrappy bunch filled with players who will attack missed shots all over – this should make padding this category a bit more difficult for a player such as Holmgren.
Also, he failed to eclipse 7 rebounds in all five games against Minnesota in the series prior.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Chet Holmgren Lower Than 9.5 Rebounds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander H/L Than 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Another NBA Playoff game means another chance to hit on SGA over 1.5 threes.
No, he’s not exactly a sharpshooter from deep – but when SGA gets clean looks, he’s been making them count recently. He’s hit two threes in each of his last three games, and during this playoff run, he’s averaging 1.5 makes on 5 attempts per game. Just because he’s been on a three-game streak of making two doesn’t guarantee a fourth straight, but the volume is clearly there – and so is the value.
Respected money is backing it – sharper books have started shifting the odds toward the over. Stokastic’s NBA DFS Projections also have him projected for two made threes tonight.
The attempts are there, and if OKC builds a lead, don’t be surprised if SGA starts letting it fly a bit more freely. Indiana’s defense has made strides, but they haven’t seen an offense like the Thunder’s. Let’s ride the over on this prop mark once again.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: SGA Higher Than 1.5 3-Pointers Made
