The NBA on Martin Luther King Day is special. We get basketball all day long and, more importantly, get to sweat out bets. Let’s dive into the best Jalen Green player prop odds as we look to identify the best bet for today’s first game of the day, Rockets-76ers. If you’re hungry for more bets, check out our guide to NBA player prop betting as well.
Best Rockets-76ers Player Prop Today: Jalen Green
If you have yet to fade Jalen Green on the road this season, you’re missing out. I cashed in on Jalen Green under 19.5 points in the last game against the Boston Celtics, thanks to OddsShopper’s tools. Green finished with just 10 points in 20 minutes and barely touched the floor in the second half due to a massive blowout. On the road, Green is averaging 3 fewer points than at home and shooting the ball at a 37% clip — that’s fade worthy to me. Let’s look ahead to today, where Green will battle the Philadelphia 76ers — a difficult matchup for opposing guards.
This game between the Rockets and 76ers has one of the lower totals of the massive slate, and for good reason. The Rockets play at the ninth-fewest pace in the league and rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency. On the other hand, the 76ers tend to play fast but will slow it down at times to feed Joel Embiid in the paint. More importantly, they rank in the top 5 in defensive efficiency.
Now that the Rockets are back to full strength with Dillon Brooks back, this number is starting to come down. In Green’s last ten games that Brooks has played in, Green is averaging 11.4 points while staying under 17 points in nine games during that span. Brooks projects to continue to be on a minutes restriction, but this is still a fine spot to fade a third option on an offense against a stout defense.
This matchup suits Fred VanVleet and Alperen Sengün better than Green, as he will most likely see Tobias Harris on defense with De’Anthony Melton out. From a price standpoint, DraftKings is coming in at 5 cents better than FanDuel, which tends to be sharp.
Best Rockets-76ers Player Prop Bet: Jalen Green Under 16.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings)
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