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Nikola Jokic Player Prop: Best Pelicans-Nuggets Bet Today
Nikola Jokic playing in front of the Nuggets faithful seems always to be a great bet – the stats back it up. Last season, Jokic averaged 49 Points + Rebounds + Assists a game; yes, he averaged a triple-double. On the road, he still played like an MVP candidate, but his PRA dropped from 49 to 43.3. So naturally, we’re backing Jokic at home against a New Orleans Pelicans squad that is quite familiar with, especially center Jonas Valanciunas.
Let’s dive into Jokic’s game log against Valanciunas since he became a Pelican using StatMuse.
Jokic has destroyed Valanciunas from a scoring perspective. But Jamal Murray will be sidelined for this one, so the books have adjusted Jokic’s point total. We’re going to pivot to his Rebounds + Assists of over 21.5 – a number he cashed in three of four home games this season, six of 10 without Murray last season, and four of four without Murray at home last season.
Suppose you’re looking for even more fun. Back Jokic to record a triple-double at +145 on FanDuel. The rebounds should not be a problem, as he’ll be down-low most of the game battling with Valanciunas and has recorded at least 10 rebounds in all seven games this season. It’s the assists we may be sweating. But I trust his playmaking will be on full display tonight with expected double teams in the post and shooters surrounding him. Michael Porter Jr. will be a culprit of Jokic’s dribble handoffs and spot-up jumpers. Porter shoots much better at home, dating back to last season. At home, he shot 50% from the field, compared to on the road, where he shot 47%. I will be wagering one unit on Jokic Over 21.5 Rebounds and Assists and .25 units on Jokic Triple-Double.
Best Pelicans-Nuggets Player Prop Bet: Nikola Jokic Over 21.5 Rebounds + Assists -115 at FanDuel
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