If this is your first time betting on a turnover prop, strap in and enjoy the ride. Let’s dive into the best Nikola Jokic player prop odds for tonight as we look to identify the best bet for tonight’s Nuggets-Clippers game. If you’re hungry for more bets, check out our guide to NBA player prop betting as well.
Best Nuggets-Clippers Player Prop Today: Nikola Jokic
A late-game sweat under is one of the best feelings when diving into the player prop market — especially when that player is Nikola Jokic, a two-time MVP looking for a third this season. The Denver Nuggets will travel to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers in a game that features plenty of star power and a one-point spread. We’re hoping that star power includes Jamal Murray, who is questionable to suit up for Denver. Without Murray in the lineup, Jokic sees a 4.2% usage rate increase. If Murray doesn’t play, this play of under 3.5 turnovers is still worth a look, as Jokic has been under in nine of 12 games without the star point guard.
The stingy Clippers defense can give Jokic problems, but he’s proven to contain himself against Clippers big man Ivica Zubac. In the last three seasons, Jokic has stayed under this line in three of six games where the two have met, with all three unders having Murray active. Only a handful of players replicate Jokic’s usage, but we have to trust that, even though he’ll have the ball in his hands a ton, he can limit the turnovers as he has in the last 10 games. He’s stayed under this line in seven games, including three total turnovers in his last three games.
The books have put much respect on this player prop, as we’ll have to swallow a ton of vig at-160 on most major books, but OddsShopper’s tools found Jokic’s turnover prop at -155 on bet365. Keep an eye on the Nuggets injury report; if Murray is listed as inactive, the price of this prop will come down.
Best Nuggets-Clippers Player Prop Bet: Nikola Jokic Under 3.5 Turnovers (-155 at bet365)
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