BANG! We took Thursday off with it being only a two-game slate, and I focused on MLB’s Opening Day (and we cashed a parlay there as well!). But we had a nice two-leg parlay cash on Wednesday with James Harden and Desmond Bane. We’re coming back with another two-leg NBA parlay tonight, and you might not be super keen on the picks because one of them is an under. But we’re going to roll with them nonetheless.
Now it’s time for our top NBA parlay picks for today, Friday, March 29th, including an NBA player prop pick for Paolo Banchero. Need more action? Check out our NBA betting promos.
NBA Parlay Picks Today: +269 Bet for Friday
Paolo Banchero u33.5 PRA (NBA Player Prop)
You have to hop on this one fast, because the value on this is going to dry up. Paolo Banchero under 33.5 points + rebounds + assists against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Why do I say the value will dry up fast? This line has already dropped to 32.5 on some other books — notable Pinnacle Sportbsook, which is known for being the sharpest book in all of the land.
So, you’re telling me we’re getting this line a whole PRA higher? We’ll take it.
The Clippers and Magic have been two of the slowest teams in the NBA all season long, which really plays into the hands of an under when you’re looking for PRAs. The projected total for this game is 211.5, which might actually be a bit high based on how grindy (is that a word?) the Magic have been playing of late.
I assume the Clippers will throw some combo of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George at Paolo throughout the game, and both are strong defenders.
And, if you’re into this sort of thing, the OddsShopper prop tool has this prop graded with a 53% expected win rate.
Kyle Kuzma o22.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
We’ve been here before, it seems. And, like always, it never really feels GREAT. But, we have to trust the numbers.
So what do the numbers say? Let’s take a look.
- Kyle Kuzma likes to chuck the basketball
- The Pistons don’t like to play defense
- The Wizards and Pistons like to play fast
Yes, you know exactly where this is leading us. It’s Kyle Kuzma over 22.5 points against the Pistons tonight.
Kuzma has a damn near 30% usage rate this season and Tyus Jones remains out, which puts the ball in his hands even more. The more the ball is in his hands, the more opportunities for shots.
Since returning fully from injury, Kuzma has shot 59 times in three games, so you know that shoulder is fine. He’s gonna be looking to get his 18-22 jacks again tonight against a putrid Detroit defense.
If he’s taking close to 20 shots, he should be able to clear 22.5 points.
In fact, our expert projections at Stokastic.com have Kuzma projected to score 24.79 points tonight against the Pistons, so this could be a sweat-free cash.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Victor Wembanyama Double-Double
Leg 2: Kyle Kuzma o22.5 Points
= +269 odds at BetRivers Sportsbook
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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