We’ve run into a little bit of tough luck the last few days with our NBA parlay picks. But, I’ll tell you what … I’ve got some revenge in my heart tonight, and I’m looking to cash this +630 parlay banger I’ve cooked up at DraftKings tonight. You ridin’ with me, or nah?
Now it’s time for our top NBA parlay picks for today, Friday, January 19th, including an NBA player prop pick for Kevin Durant. Need more action? Check out our NBA betting promos — including the new MEGA PROMO from BetMGM!
Let’s talk real quick about the Thursday 10-piece we were absolutely ALL OVER in the OddsShopper Discord yesterday.
I posted my initial Thursday 6-pack, but, as the day went on, I found some bets that I saw too much value in, and had to fire them up.
We went 7-3 on those bets and had a smash and cash Thursday!
That’s one of the benefits of being a Discord member. You’ll get my full betting card every day of the week, have chances to ask me questions about your picks and just sweat bets with me and the gang.
So, if you’re interested in ing Discord and checking it out, we’re always looking for people to come hang, talk bets and just make it an awesome time.
Oh, and I talked the bosses into getting us a discount code to use, so use code NATHAN, and it’ll get you that 20% off immediately on your first week or month. I’ll see you in there!
NBA Parlay Picks Today: +519 Bet for Friday
Kevin Durant 25+ Points (NBA Player Prop)
We start our NBA parlay today with a points prop for Kevin Durant.
I’ve seen this at a couple different numbers across the books, and it still feels like there’s some value to be had on taking the 25+ points line on him since we have that 50% boost at DraftKings as well.
Obviously, Phoenix is fully healthy now and has KD, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal in the starting lineup. And, in this matchup against New Orleans, I’m surprised this total is less than 240.
I believe this game is extremely capable of going over the total, and if it does, I believe Durant is going to be involved in a big way. He’s not being asked to create and facilitate as much with Beal back and Booker handling a lot of point guard duties. So, he can slide back into that scorer role.
KD did go for 27 in his last game, and averages right at 29 points per game this season. But, one of the biggest reasons I want in on this numbers is because I don’t really know who guards KD tonight.
If it’s either of Brandon Ingram or Zion Williamson, Durant is obviously capable of cooking them. And while Herb Jones is a good defender, KD is a world-class scorer.
I ain’t scared.
CJ McCollum o18.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Let’s stick in that Suns-Pelicans game since we think this has the possibility of going over the total, and take a points prop on a Pelicans player we’ve loved to get coin down on this year.
We’re firing up CJ McCollum for over 18.5 points tonight.
Now, McCollum is averaging 19.6 points per game this season, so we’re not even really asking the fella to reach his season average to cash this ticket for us.
Phoenix has struggled defending point guards this year, allowing the fifth-most points per game (26.48). For reference, only the Spurs, Nets, Pistons and Bucks are worse.
In his previous six games against the Suns since ing the Pelicans in 2022, McCollum has cleared the 18.5 mark in four of those games, and has finished with 17 and 18 points in the two he failed to clear it in.
Like I said earlier, I think this game might pop off for a higher total than expected, and it SHOULD BE a competitive game (spread is 1.5 right now), so we should see full run from our Stephan Urquelle doppelganger tonight.
Jamal Murray u7.5 Assists (NBA Player Prop)
You that old TV show on ESPN called Numbers Never Lie? Don’t get me wrong, that show was trash. And, in fact, their numbers lied. And, it wasn’t even about numbers, it was just them firing off hot takes in typical ESPN fashion.
Anyway, let me get off that rant right quick.
The OddsShopper Prop Tool numbers … now those are numbers that never lie. Because they’re based ONLY on data. No hot takes baked into the prop finder.
When you want a hot take, you come to me!
Back to the subject at hand: Jamal Murray’s assist prop is showing up as one of the best EV bets in the prop finder today. So, when we’re looking for plays to round out a parlay, we trust the data.
That’s right, were going Jamal Murray UNDER 7.5 assists tonight against the Boston Celtics.
Why? BECAUSE. STONE. COLD. SAID. SO. That’s why.
On the real, though, it’s showing as a strong +EV bet and has an expected winning percentage of 60%. We roll with the #Nerds.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Kevin Durant 25+ Points
Leg 2: CJ McCollum o18.5 Points
Leg 3: Jamal Murray u7.5 Assits
= +630 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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