After a weekend away, stuffing my fat face with tacos and protein ice cream while visiting my sister, I’m recharged and refreshed for another week of NBA parlay picks. And I’ve got two picks for our NBA parlay today that I’m really liking, with some players in great spots. So, strap up, because it’s time for our top NBA parlay picks for today, Monday, March 25th, including an NBA player prop pick for De’Aaron Fox.
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NBA Parlay Picks Today: +248 Bet for Monday
Nikola Vucevic o18.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Now, I’m not generally one to brag — unless it’s the day after we’ve smashed a parlay — but I was out here moving lines this morning apparently. I bet the Nikola Vucevic over 17.5 points prop I found at about 6:15 a.m. CT, and by the time I had found a second bet to pair with it for our parlay, the number had already moved to 18.5.
So, naturally, it was DEFINITELY ME who moved the line.
However, I still like the over on the 18.5 line, and I do think it’s playable up to 19.5, but that’s about as far as I would go.
The Bulls get the lowly Washington Wizards tonight, who will be without Kyle Kuzma, who wasn’t going to be putting up any resistance inside anyway.
So, the Wiz will be trotting out a lot of Richaun Holmes and Marvin Bagley, which feels like a prime spot for Vuc to get his mid-range floater going, and step out for some shots these fellas aren’t comfortable defending.
Washington has struggled to defend the center position all season long, and have allowed a league-worst 26.77 points per game to opposing 5s, so if there’s any team willing to just let Vuc cook, it’s the Wizards.
Not to mention, Coby White and Alex Caruso are on the injury report for tonight’s game. Though, they are probable, it’s a definite possibility the Bulls don’t push them as they might in a matchup that would require max effort to earn a victory, especially with a game against the Pacers just around the corner on Wednesday.
So, that could open up a for more shot attempts for Vucevic in this game if the Bulls want to play it a little safe with White and Caruso.
De’Aaron Fox o24.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
The Kings welcome in the Philadelphia 76ers tonight, where Sacramento averages 120 points per game — 5 points more than they do on the road.
When I popped open the OddsShopper prop finder this morning, the tool was loving the over on Fox’s 24.5 points in a couple different areas.
The xWin rate was coming in at 53%, which is right at the number I really love to see when including picks in my parlays.
And, Pinnacle — arguably the sharpest sportsbook in the world — has Fox’s point line set at 25.5 and already juiced to -123 odds. So, that tells you Pinnacle is already leaning toward him hitting the over on 25.5 points.
I also cross-referenced our expert DFS projections at Stokastic.com that have won our pros millions of dollars, and our projections have Fox playing just over 35 minutes and projected to scored 26.33 points.
So, I feel very comfortable with taking the over on this 24.5 points line tonight.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: De’Aaron Fox o24.5 Points
Leg 2: Nikola Vucevic o18.5 Points
= +248 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
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