You might have a candy hangover today like me, but that’s not going to stop us from making some +EV plays. We have a 13-game NBA slate tonight, with two games that stand out: The Wizards at the Hawks with the highest total of the night at 238 and a battle for Los Angeles between the Clippers and Lakers. James Harden will not play tonight, so we’ll have some value on the Clippers side to look at. With 26 teams in action tonight, there is a lot to sort through, so let’s get to the best PrizePicks plays of the night!
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 1
Chet Holmgren M/L 5.5 Rebounds
Holmgren makes his first appearance on PrizePicks plays today, and for good reason. He leads the Thunder starters with a 13.2% rebound percentage, while their opponent, the New Orleans Pelicans, have allowed the most rebounds to opponents in the NBA at 53.3 per game. Holmgren is averaging 6.3 rebounds on 12.5 chances per game and is projected to play 31.6 minutes today. Stokastic’s Pick’Em Pro tool has him projected for eight rebounds and a 67% expected win rate. Lock it in.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Chet Holmgren More Than 5.5 Rebounds
Ausar Thompson M/L 9.5 Points
We have another rookie on the list today! Thompson and the Pistons will host the Portland Trail Blazers as 3.5-point favorites. This game has a total of 216.5, and Thompson is projected for 14.5 points in this contest, good for a 62% expected win rate
Thompson is averaging 29.6 minutes per game and has an 18% usage rate, both top 5 for rookies. He’s averaging 8.5 points per game on 32.4% shooting. What I like about this points play is that he’s averaging 2.3 free throws made per game and he’s closing games. Portland’s defensive rating of 113 currently ranks 22nd in the NBA.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Ausar Thompson More Than 9.5 Points
Ben Simmons M/L 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Simmons seems to have put the drama and his injuries behind him, and he’s looking for his shot more. Brooklyn will visit Miami as 5.5-point underdogs and will be without starters Nicolas Claxton and Spencer Dinwiddie. This means more ball-handling duties for Simmons and more rebounding opportunities.
Simmons is averaging 26.6 points + rebounds + assists in 30.2 minutes per game. He’s projected for 35 minutes tonight, while the Heat have Jimmy Butler listed as questionable. If Butler sits, this game has a good chance of staying competitive throughout. Pick’Em Pro tool projects Simmons for 29.8 points + rebounds + assists and a 57% expected win rate on more than 25.5.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Ben Simmons More Than 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the best expected value. If you’re looking for more picks check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
