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Best NBA Picks Today: Expert Bets for Friday, March 7

Updated March 7, 2025 | 11:33 am CDT by Danny Burke

If you’re looking for the best NBA picks today, we’ve got you covered with expert bets backed by Portfolio EV’s market-based betting approach, which includes dozens of +EV bets every single day. If you want to learn more about the science behind Portfolio EV and why it’s so successful – click this link to check out how it works.

And if you want to start winning consistently on your own – then we have GREAT NEWS for you! We’re offering new s a 7-day free trial! That’s right – a full week of market-based bets that all contain positive expected value, directs you to which sportsbook has it available and even shows the historical ROI for each wager!

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All you have to do is click this link, or the image, and you’ll be ready to start betting dozens of +EV bets across multiple sports every single day.

Best NBA Picks Today: Expert Bets for Friday, March 7

T’Wolves @ Heat

Donte DiVincenzo Under 13.5 Points (-129) at BetRivers

  • This prop has an EV of +4.5%.
  • The true odds are -143.
  • Other sportsbooks are moving this prop to 12.5.
  • Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections forecast him with 10.5 points.

Suns @ Nuggets

Bradley Beal Under 4.5 Assists (-136) at BetRivers

  • This prop has an EV of +3.0%.
  • This historical ROI on this specific prop bet is +7.0%.
  • The true odds are -162.
  • Most sportsbooks are moving this line to 6.5.

Knicks @ Clippers

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 25.5 Points (-129) at BetRivers

  • This prop has an EV of +4.5%.
  • Several sportsbooks are moving this prop to 24.5.
  • The historical ROI on this specific prop bet is +6.3%.
  • The true odds are -127.
  • Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections have him finishing with 12 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists.

Grizzlies @ Mavs

Spencer Dinwiddie Under 16.5 Points (-110) at DraftKings

  • This prop has an EV of +4.7%.
  • The True Odds on this prop are -121.
  • The historical ROI on this specific prop bet is +5.9%.
  • The Grizzlies’ defense is 6th in effective field goal percentage allowed and 9th in points per 100 possessions allowed.

Final Thoughts on our Top NBA Bets Today

Our NBA bets today offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones, make sure you free expert picks page to see dozens of bets from our insiders every day!

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Danny Burke

Author

Danny Burke

Danny Burke is a betting analyst at OddsShopper and has been involved in sports media for the past 10 years. He began his career while attending the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where he shared his picks weekly on the local ESPN . After graduating, Burke made his mark in Las Vegas, hosting various shows for VSiN. He then returned to his hometown of Chicago, where he launched "Rush Hour," the first-ever daily sports betting show to broadcast from an Illinois casino. Additionally, Burke co-hosted “Props & Locks,” which was the first betting segment to air during the Bears’ pregame show on Fox32 Chicago, and ran the program “Bet On, Chicago,'' on WLS-AM 890.

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