Last weekend’s event at Gateway Motorsports Park dragged on forever, which made my overestimation of Hendrick Motorsports that much more painful. Oh well. The NASCAR Cup Series now heads to Sonoma Raceway for this year’s Toyota/SaveMart 350 on Sunday, June 11 at 3:30 p.m. ET. I’m here to break down the betting odds, make my predictions and identify the top NASCAR bets for this weekend’s action at Sonoma. Martin Truex Jr. stands out as an interesting NASCAR bet early this week.
This season, I will handicap the opening outright odds for the NASCAR Cup Series early in the week, and I’ll post a prop article once those markets become available. Only of OddsShopper Insider Access will get access to my full betting card, but I will include most of it in articles and on our YouTube Channel.
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NASCAR Predictions for the Toyota/SaveMart 350 at Sonoma: Race Preview
Who Has Been Fast on Road Courses Lately?
The NASCAR Cup Series makes its second stop at a road course this season. Tyler Reddick dominated at the Circuit of the Americas back in March, shaking off the “handcuffs” that Toyota drivers had complained about when racing on road courses last year.
Interestingly, Reddick was the only Toyota driver to score a top-5 finish. The next-best Toyota driver, Ty Gibbs, finished ninth; the next-best Toyota driver after Gibbs, Denny Hamlin, finished 16th.
Toyota failed to dominate any of last year’s road course events. They barely won one, with Christopher Bell stealing a win at the Charlotte Roval. However, it’s likely that at least some of the notes from Reddick’s winning effort have made their way to the rest of the manufacturer’s stable, so I’m not writing the manufacturer off completely as I did at these tracks last year, which is big, because the winningest active driver at Sonoma is Martin Truex Jr.
Last year, the best team at the Circuit of the Americas by individual driver rating, Trackhouse Racing, went on to win at Sonoma. Ross Chastain dominated at COTA with a driver rating of 141.7; Daniel Suarez followed that up by recording a driver rating of 137.5 at Sonoma.
This year saw a few teams stand above the rest at COTA. Reddick led 41 of the 75 laps for 23XI Racing and recorded a driver rating of 141.8. He also recorded the best green-flag speed rating. After Reddick, William Byron and Alex Bowman recorded the next-best driver ratings at 128.8 and 108.4, respectively, for Hendrick Motorsports.
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