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Philles-White Sox Best Bet & Prediction: Lance Lynn’s Odds are Enticing in Game 1 (April 18)

April 18, 2023 | 1:19 PM by Justin Martin

Game 1 of a doubleheader between the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies will begin at 4:10 E.T. Lance Lynn will open the game for Chicago against a red-hot Phillies that is crushing right-handed pitching recently. Let’s dive into our best Phillies-White Sox best bet, which includes a player prop bet and a +194 parlay via FanDuel.

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Best Phillies-White Sox Player Prop Bet

OddsShopper  is a big fan of fading Lance Lynn and this MLB player prop bet. to start the doubleheader between the Phillies and White Sox. They’re giving this bet a 54%-win expectancy with FanDuel setting the odds at -102. This is great value as other premier books have it set at -130. Lynn is coming off a season-high 10 strikeouts against the Minnesota Twins. So why are we fading him? Well, the Philadelphia Phillies offense against right-handed pitching in the last week has been outstanding. They’re striking out at the third-fewest rate and hitting a whopping .333 with an on-base percentage of .407.

Lynn does have a long leash, but the DraftKings Sportsbook has his outs line set at 18.5 but favoring the under at -175. The White Sox would love Lynn to go deep into this game but will not shy away from chipping into their rested bullpen. Lynn struggled mightily against an underwhelming San Franciso Giants team two starts ago. He fanned only five batters and allowed eight earned runs on nine hits.

The Phillies team decided to lower catcher J.T. Realmuto to the sixth hole which bodes well for us. Realmuto is 0-7 in his career against Lynn and is striking out at a 32% clip against right-handed pitchers. He and Nick Castellanos are the two candidates that are likely to strike out against Lynn but the rest of the order will give Lynn struggles. Lynn is under this line in two of three starts this season and 16 of 24 dating back to last year.

Best MLB Player Prop: Lance Lynn UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts -102 (FanDuel)

Phillies-White Sox Parlay

Zach Wheeler is due for positive regression. He had his first quality start against the Miami Marlins last week. He allowed only one run on three hits, but the Phillies fell in extra innings by a score of 3-2. The Phillies offense since that game has been spectacular. They’re hitting .325 and scored 14 runs in their last game. 

The White Sox lineup will feature six right-handed batters against Wheeler. Righties are hitting an appealing .235 against Wheeler but left-handed batters are .269. Both these numbers aren’t encouraging for Wheeler but he’s one of the top aces in all of baseball. We have no problem trusting him and the Phillies offense today.

Best Phillies-White Sox Bet: Lance Lynn Under 6.5 Strikeouts & Phillies Moneyline +194

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Justin Martin

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Justin Martin

NBA, NFL, & MLB Player Prop Analyst. Twitter: JutPicks

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