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Few sweats are more fun than home run bets. Waiting for your selected player to get his next at-bat — and then hoping they get the right pitch to send yard — can make any afternoon much more enjoyable. Especially when you hit. Readers looking for all the best MLB bets, picks and predictions throughout the season should check out Parlay Builder!
Best MLB Home Run Bets & Picks Today: Trea Turner, Jake Meyers
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals | 8 p.m. ET
Isaiah’s Pick: Jake Meyers
I took Freddie Freeman last night, so it was frustrating to see him held completely in check. In five plate appearances, Freeman was hit by a pitch, walked and struck out twice. Whatever — we’re on to Thursday. Let’s pivot to another series.
I want to get creative for this pick. We’re headed to Houston’s Minute Maid Park for this one. The stadium ranks a steady 16th in park factors for home runs, so although they aren’t an advantage, they also aren’t a disadvantage.
The Washington Nationals will start LHP MacKenzie Gore (3-5). Gore’s 4.04 ERA is solid, but his 4.32 xERA is less impressive. Gore has also allowed at least one home run in seven of his last eight starts. Opposing batters have swatted 11 home runs against him through 69 innings pitched.
Eight of Gore’s 11 home runs allowed have gone to right-handed batters, which is a problem tonight, as Houston’s lineup consists almost entirely of righties. With Yordan Alvarez still stuck on the injured list, backup outfielder Jake Meyers looks like a juicy target.
Meyers has six home runs in just 171 at-bats this season. He owns 13 home runs in 514 career plate appearances, eight of which have come in Minute Maid Park. We can buy him at generous odds of FanDuel? You can get a no-sweat first bet worth up to $2,500!
Best MLB Home Run Bet: Jake Meyers +830 at FanDuel
Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks | 3:30 p.m. ET
OddsShopper’s Model Pick: Trea Turner
The model is rolling after yesterday’s hit on 70% off your first month!
Turner has seven home runs to his name already this year but none since his two-homer performance against the Detroit Tigers a few weeks back. He isn’t the best power hitter, but four of his home runs have come in games against right-handed starters like the one he’ll face tonight, RHP Ryne Nelson (3-3).
Again, this is a market-based pick. We’re honing in on Turner at odds of OddsShopper’s model lists +507 (16.5%) as a fair market price.
We’re getting more than enough of a discount to warrant a wager on Turner at OddsShopper !
Best MLB Home Run Bet: Trea Turner +560 at FanDuel
