Today we’re analyzing the latest hitting and pitching trends, considering ballpark information and utilizing the resources of best NRFI picks today on BetMGM for Thursday, May 18.
Editor’s Note: This article was originally published at 11:24 a.m. CT.
Best YRFI/NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning Bets
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays YRFI (-110)
The starting pitchers for this game are Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays and Nestor Cortes for the Yankees. Berrios has struggled to generate strikeouts, and he is not overpowering on the mound. Cortes, although slightly better in of strikeouts, is still average at best in this department.
One key factor to consider is the ability of these pitchers to handle walks. While neither pitcher has had significant issues with issuing walks consistently, Berrios faces a challenge if he surrenders an early walk. It becomes harder for him to navigate out of trouble in such situations. On the other hand, Cortes may have a better chance of escaping jams by inducing ground balls or turning double plays. However, facing the Blue Jays at home, Cortes could struggle in the first inning. Toronto’s lineup, apart from a few notable exceptions, does not feature many batters who strike out at a high rate. This presents a difficult matchup for Cortes.
While the Yankees have power hitters who can strike out, the advantage tilts towards Berrios in this game. Pitching at home, Berrios may find a bit more comfort and potentially pitch ahead in the count against the Yankees lineup, but he still is susceptible to giving up big innings.
Considering these factors, a YRFI pick in this game appears to be a strong betting option. The slight edge goes to Berrios due to the matchup dynamics, but overall this sets up for a first-inning run from one of these teams.
Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals NRFI (-105)
The Dodgers send Julio Urias to the mound, while the Cardinals counter with Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is known for his ability to start games strongly, often getting through the first inning unscathed. The Dodgers, despite their proficiency in scoring first-inning runs, face a challenge when playing on the road against Wainwright.
Urias has been impressive on the mound, exhibiting excellent control and limiting walks. He has been effective in pitching to and generating ground balls. While occasional hard-hit balls can pose a threat, Urias maintains a respectable strikeout rate. This matchup against the Cardinals presents a favorable opportunity for Urias, even on the road.
With the line at -105, this NRFI pick becomes appealing.
