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Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Aaron Nola Is Money at Home (April 11)

April 11, 2023 | 3:42 PM by Justin Martin

All of baseball will be in action on Tuesday night which include four inter division games and plenty of aces on the mound. Aaron Nola headlines the slate and is our top MLB player prop bet. For more MLB plays, check out our Dinger Tuesday picks!

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Best MLB Player Prop Bets | Aaron Nola O/U 5.5 Hits Allowed 

Aaron Nola has had his fair share of battles against NL East foe Miami Marlins. Last season, he had a 1.23 ERA in three starts against the inexperienced Marlins. He allowed less than six hits in two of three games including the last two being masterclass performances. He pitched into the 7th inning and allowed one earned run combined. 

The bottom of the lineup is where Nola can roll. Six through nine hitters Jean Segura, Nick Fortes, and Jon Berti are a combined 16 for 89 this season. Out of the nine right-handed starters to start against the Marlins, only two have allowed more than six hits. 

Nola has been roughed up in two starts this season. The Texas Rangers and New York Yankees shredded him at their ballparks for a combined eight runs and 11 hits but now gets a much easier opponent that he is familiar with at home. At Citizens Bank Park last season, Nola allowed less than six hits in 13 of 18 starts. Expect Nola to find his groove and cash this MLB player prop bet for us bettors. 

Best MLB Player Prop: Aaron Nola UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed -130 (DraftKings)

Best MLB Player Prop Bets | Dustin May O/U 4.5 Hits Allowed 

Dustin May has been nothing short of spectacular through his first two starts. Last start against an underrated Arizona Diamondbacks team, May pitched six innings of one-run baseball. The start before that was arguably even better. He pitched seven innings of three-hit baseball without allowing a run. Tonight, he’ll end the slate against the San Francisco Giants. Let’s dive into why we’re backing Dustin May as our second MLB player prop bet.

The Giants are a great opportunity for May to continue his dominant start to the season. The best right-handed arms to face off against the Giants this year gave been Yankees and White Sox aces Gerrit Cole and Dylan Cease. The two pitched a combined 11 innings and allowed only 4 hits. May not be on the same level as those Cy Young candidates but he’s been near perfect this season. He rode a no-hitter into the 5th inning against the Giants last season in his fifth start of the season. Look for manager Dave Roberts to cap him off at 85 pitches and not push May who is coming off Tommy John surgery.

Best MLB Player Prop: Dustin May UNDER 4.5 Hits Allowed -130 (DraftKings)

Categories MLB
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Justin Martin

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Justin Martin

NBA, NFL, & MLB Player Prop Analyst. Twitter: JutPicks

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