Profitable sports betting requires knowledge of the markets and meticulous research for the games. The good news is that OddsShopper Tool, for Saturday, May 13, including one for Zac Gallen.
Editors Note: This was originally published the morning of May 13
Best MLB Bets Today | May 13
Julio Urias (LAD) Prop: Under 4.5 Strikeouts
The first pick is for Julio Urias of the Los Angeles Dodgers. We’ll fade his ability to strike out opposing batters by locking in the under 4.5 strikeouts at plus money via FanDuel Sportsbook. Even though Urias is a talented pitcher, this pick has a lot of value since the line is much better than at other sportsbooks.
This pick is based on the analysis that Urias is not a high-strikeout pitcher and has only gone over 4.5 strikeouts in two of his last eight starts. Moreover, the Dodgers have a deep bullpen, which could limit Urias’ pitch count and make it unlikely for him to reach five strikeouts. Betting under 4.5 strikeouts has a good chance of winning, and with plus money on FanDuel, it’s an excellent opportunity for us to make a profit.
Trevor Williams (WAS) Prop: Under 3.5 Strikeouts
Trevor Williams of the Washington Nationals is the next pick. We’ll target him to stay under 3.5 strikeouts at odds of -118. Williams has not performed well this season, and in his last five starts, he has only gone over 3.5 strikeouts once. He’ll face the New York Mets, whose batters have not been striking out at a high rate, which could limit Williams’ strikeouts even more.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) Prop: 2+ Total Bases
The fourth pick is for Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies. We’ll target him because the books have set his total bases prop to only 1.5. Schwarber has been hot lately, with five home runs in his last seven games. Betting on 2+ total bases for Schwarber is a smart choice since he has been on a roll and is playing in hitter-friendly Coors Field.
Zac Gallen (ARI) Prop: Over 7.5 Strikeouts
The final pick is for Zac Gallen of the Arizona Diamondbacks. We’ll back him to go over 7.5 strikeouts. Gallen is a high-strikeout pitcher and has gone over this number in three of his last five starts. He’ll line up against the San Francisco Giants, who lead the MLB in strikeouts per game. Betting over 7.5 strikeouts for Gallen is a good pick since he has the potential to reach double-digit strikeouts in this one.
