The work week is officially underway in the NBA tonight with 11 games on tap. The undefeated Cavaliers look to remain that way following a clash on the road with the Knicks, while the Lakers and Suns go at it again for the second time in this short season. With 11 games come plenty of chances to highlight value fromexpert picks today.
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today: Monday, October 28
Last season, we went unlock our picks!
NBA Player Prop Picks & Predictions Today
Whatever your planned strategy is in researching, finding, then actually placing bets — it’s too time consuming. Even the slightest bit of help can take the pressure off finding the best plays no matter how big your audience size is. Whether you’re running a discord or just your own personal use, it’s essential to maximize your time. That’s why Portfolio EV makes so much sense — it’s finding you +EV bets and doing all the work.
We’ve created an algorithm to find the best way to profit against the market, using the tools to save time and money. The results speak for themselves, as we’ve found overwhelming success betting basketball — both men’s and women’s hoops. By using our Portfolio EV tools in the NBA, we’ve identified three plays with immense value. You may notice a theme here, betting more under plays than overs — it’s the nature of having a market with the majority of bettors looking to bet overs. That’s both single plays and alt overs in parlays.
To help you get started constructing your profitable portfolio of NBA player prop bets, tail these plays:
, the goal here is to profit. The means to that profit is finding the right number for a play on the best available sportsbook. We make money by taking smart lines, sometimes broken or slow to adjust, not by just settling for bad numbers.
If you aren’t on a book that has the best price, then use our promo page to sign up. You will not profit using this method by skating around value, instead, it’s about following the money and the number.
Look no further than Jimmy Butler under 0.5 3-pointers, sitting at +180 on BetMGM. OddsShopper identified the true odds of this bet at +156, so right away we are getting a fantastic number. It’s simply beating the fair price or true odds.
But that’s not all — as it’s one thing to beat Pinnacle, but another to beat the actual market. By betting 0.5 units on Butler to stay scoreless from deep, we ensure the +180 price is far better than anyone else offering this bet. The next best available price for this is +160 at PointsBet, 20 points less than MGM.
You can further apply analysis to ensure that you are taking the right side — like the Heat are big favorites tonight against visiting Detroit. Butler could easily see a fewer number of shots as Miami walks to victory. Even in need of points, the Heat aren’t racing for Butler to knock down 3’s.
We apply the same logic and approach to the other two plays, as both Jalen Green under 3.5 assists and Paolo Banchero under 5.5 assists follow the same path to profit. We beat the market leader, we beat the rest of the market, we stay up on the year.
Follow me on X @shanderbets as we continue on our journey to 100-plus units betting the NBA off Portfolio EV.
Again, make sure to check out Portfolio EV for more +EV NBA player props. You can sign up for $29.95 per week, $99.95 per month.
