The Boston Celtics will take on the reeling Indiana Pacers tonight. One of Boston’s starters is projected for a solid showing on the glass according to two other player props for this evening’s action.
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Pacers-Celtics Odds & Best Bet Tonight | Jaylen Brown Player Prop
Jaylen Brown O/U 5.5 Rebounds
The books fumbled with this line. Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has the over priced all the way down at -191, but it’s still available at OddsShopper’s betting model uses the lines available at sharp books like Pinnacle to filter through the best bets for a given slate, and this play stands out as one of the best on tonight’s board.
Although OddsShopper’s betting model isn’t a projection-based model, it makes sense why the market has confidence in Brown’s rebounds tonight. Brown has recorded 21 rebounds in two games against the Indiana Pacers this season, safely clearing this number each time. He is also averaging 6.9 rebounds per game on the season. Stokastic’s projections have Brown coming down with 6.3 rebounds tonight.
Both the @OddsShopper and @Stokastic_Com betting models are in on this player prop tonight.
Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140) at DK
Let's ride.
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— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 24, 2023
This play has an expected win rate of 62%, far better than the implied odds (58.3%) still available at DraftKings. With an expected ROI of 6%, bettors should act quickly before the book adjusts this number. FanDuel Sportsbook has Brown at -150 to come down with at least six boards, while Caesars Sportsbook has him at -163. Readers yet to at DraftKings can get $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
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Pacers-Celtics Player Prop Bet: Jaylen Brown Over 5.5 Rebounds (-140 for 0.7 Unit) at DraftKings
