At 46-30, the Sacramento Kings are chasing down the 48-28 Memphis Grizzlies for the second seed in the Western Conference. Securing a layup win over the Portland Trail Blazers, who have tapped out of the playoff race, would help them close that gap. two other player props for this evening’s action.
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Kings-Trail Blazers Best Bet | Domantas Sabonis Player Prop
Domantas Sabonis O/U 5.5 Assists
This number just screams value right now. Domantas Sabonis is averaging 7.2 assists per game on the year and 8.1 since the All-Star Break. But because some books expect a blowout, the juice isn’t stacked far enough on the over. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the over priced down at -212 (67.9%). But DraftKings Sportsbook, a public book, has it priced at only -155 (60.8%). That gives us plenty of edge on the over for Friday’s action.
This play has more than just market-based reasoning behind it. Not only is Sabonis averaging more than this line, but he is also expected to notch 6.9 assists tonight per Stokastic’s industry-leading NBA DFS projections. Sabonis has beaten this number in 53 of his 74 games this year (71.6%). The blowout potential means he may not see a ton of minutes, but Sabonis should exploit a Portland defense that allows the second-most assists per game (26.5) and the fifth-most to centers (4.3).
Yeah, this number is off. Both @OddsShopper and @StokasticNBA Bet Pro think so.
Sabonis Over 5.5 AST -155 at DK for 1u
YTD: 7.2 AST/G
Post-ASB: 8.1 AST/GCould be a blowout but should still do damage. That's why Pinnacle has the over at -212. pic.twitter.com/O4ORBJkedt
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 31, 2023
It’s surprising how off-market this line is. Other public books have a much more reasonable price. FanDuel Sportsbook has Sabonis at -195 to score at least six assists (66.1%). Caesars Sportsbook has this line at -183 (64.6%). Because DraftKings has such an outlier number available right now, they’ll likely adjust as tip-off approaches. Bettors should act quickly to lock in this player prop at its current price, which offers an expected ROI of 5%. Readers yet to at DraftKings can score $150 in bonus bets after winning a $5 moneyline wager!
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Kings-Trail Blazers Player Prop Bet: Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists
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