After a measly two-game NBA slate last night, we’re back with 11 games on Friday Night. Let’s get right into the top NBA player prop picks for this evening’s action. If you’re hungry for more bets, check out our guide to NBA player prop betting as well.
Best NBA Player Props Today: Picks for DeMar DeRozan & More
Jalen Johnson Player Prop
If you don’t know the name already, get familiar with it. Jalen Johnson, the former Duke forward who left college in the middle of his freshman season, is making significant strides in his third season in the NBA. He’s doubled his minutes from last season, shooting 47% from three-point range this season after shooting just 29% last season, and is averaging nearly 10 more points per game. He’s been a breath of fresh air for the Hawks, who have needed a perimeter wing player who can create their own shot for a while now. He’s solidified a role for himself on this team and will continue to be a staple in our NBA player prop bets stories.
Tonight, against the Philadelphia 76ers and the in-season tournament showdown, Johnson is in a great spot to see valuable minutes and plenty of opportunities to score. Both teams rank in the league’s top half in pace and possessions per game. With how Johnson is shooting the ball – 62% from the field and 56% from three the last five games, this game reads perfect for him.
Johnson has been a cash cow when it has come to this player prop bet. He’s scored at least 12 points in eight of 11 games to start the season. You won’t have to pay much vig if you head to FanDuel. They’re offering this prop at -113, while DraftKings and BetMGM are at -125.
NBA Player Prop Pick: Jalen Johnson Over 11.5 Points -113 at FanDuel
DeMar DeRozan Player Prop
The Chicago Bulls and Orlando Magic are heading in opposite directions as a franchise. It looks like the DeMar DeRozan, Zach Lavine, and Nikola Vucevic experience is over, as the Bulls are primed to be sellers at the deadline. This was an underwhelming group with the talent to compete for a top four seed for years in the Eastern Conference. Let’s dive into our top NBA player prop bet for Magic-Bulls on Saturday, Nov. 17.
DeMar DeRozan has been one of the game’s elite scorers for years, dating back to his time in Toronto and San Antonio. But we’re fading him for an assist standpoint tonight. The matchup for DeRozan against the Magic is not a pretty one for him. They allow the second fewest assists per game, while Chicago plays at a bottom 10 pace. Factor in both teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in possessions per game, and this game could be a snoozefest.
DeRozan will lead the Bulls from a playmaking standpoint, but he’s stayed under this line in seven of 11 games this season. Lavine, Coby White, and Alex Caruso should all be suited up tonight and will take plenty of assist opportunities away from DeRozan, who all rank below DeRozan in that category. BetMGM leads the helm with the best odds at -115, while DraftKings is settled at -125. Kudos to OddsShopper’s tools for finding the +EV edge.
NBA Player Prop Pick: DeMar DeRozan Under 5.5 Assists -115 at BetMGM
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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