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Best Heat-76ers Player Prop: Will P.J. Tucker Score Tonight? (February 27)

February 27, 2023 | 12:45 PM by Isaiah Sirois

After a deflating loss to the Boston Celtics on Saturday, the Philadelphia 76ers will host the Miami Heat on Monday night. The Heat are on a four-game skid and desperately need to get back in the win column. Bettors looking for sharp NBA player props in Monday’s Heat-76ers game should head to OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

Best Heat-76ers NBA Player Prop | P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker Prop O/U 4.5 Points

The Miami Heat let P.J. Tucker walk in the offseason, and the veteran defensive specialist signed a three-year, $33 million deal with the 76ers. Head coach Doc Rivers has featured Tucker as his starting small forward for most of the season. He has averaged 26 minutes but only 3.5 points per game. However, tonight’s matchup with the Heat, his former team, should see him produce offensively.

Tucker won’t be high on the list of priorities for Miami’s defense. That means he can cook them from the corner. The Heat have allowed the most corner 3’s per game (4.3) on the eighth-highest shooting percentage (41%). Meanwhile, despite playing such a low-volume role, Tucker ranks second on the 76ers in corner 3’s made (0.7) and attempted (1.6) per game.

Although Tucker has been content without much of a role on offense, he has stepped up in big games. Tucker scored seven points against the Celtics on Saturday and six against the Grizzlies on Thursday. He even racked up 10 points against the Cavaliers right before the All-Star Break. Tucker steps up in contentious games, as he averages 0.7 more points per game in losses than in wins. He also steps up against Eastern Conference competition, as he averages 1.4 more points per game in those matchups.

This bet doesn’t hinge on the traditional “revenge-game” narrative. Tucker played with the Heat for just one season — and right after helping the Milwaukee Bucks knock them out of the playoffs. Instead, Miami’s defensive vulnerabilities and Tucker’s tendency to shoot more in big games combine to make this a sharp NBA player prop. Bettors should head to Caesars Sportsbook for the best price on the board. Readers yet to there can get their first bet on Caesars up to $1,250!

Best NBA Heat-76ers Player Prop: P.J. Tucker Over 4.5 Points (-111) at Caesars

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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