The Atlanta Hawks went a disappointing 41-41 last season. Trae Young struggled, recording his least efficient season in effective field goal percentage (48.5%) since his rookie year. However, head coach Quin Snyder will get a full offseason with the team, so things will be different in Atlanta this year. Let’s dive into our Atlanta Hawks 2023-24 season preview. We’ll examine the Atlanta Hawks’ futures odds, including their win total, for 2023-24 to pick the best bets and make our predictions. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for all the most up-to-date NBA odds!
Atlanta Hawks Season Preview: Futures Odds, Picks & Predictions for 2023-24
Atlanta Hawks Futures Odds: Championship, Conference, Division & Win Total
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
NBA Championship: +13000
Eastern Conference: +5500
Southeast Division: +220
Win Total: 41.5 -132/+106
Atlanta Hawks Season Preview
The Atlanta Hawks might be the best team in the Southeast Division this year. Although the Miami Heat have more star power, they lost several key depth assets, namely Max Strus and Gabe Vincent. The Hawks lost John Collins, but he never really fit this roster. Atlanta’s net rating improved by 1.6 points per 100 possessions with him off the court. Collins’ departure opens up more playing time for Saddiq Bey, who the Hawks were 8.3 points per 100 possessions more efficient with on the floor. Jalen Johnson should also see an uptick in minutes, and, if he can progress, he offers a far higher ceiling than Collins.
With Bey in the mix, Atlanta’s starting lineup looks better than last year’s. The Hawks will likely start Trae Young–Dejounte Murray–De’Andre Hunter–Saddiq Bey–Clint Capela. Behind them are several capable backups. Patty Mills can play productive minutes at point guard to spell Young and Murray, Bogdan Bogdanovic and A.J. Griffin are great depth pieces at wing, and Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu offer both depth and upside in the frontcourt. Injuries to the starting five wouldn’t be as disastrous for the Hawks as they would be for other teams.
My primary concern with the Hawks is defense, but their weak schedule should give them some breathing room. The Hawks ranked 22nd in defensive efficiency last year, which isn’t great, but getting at least four games against Southeast Division opponents — the Heat, Wizards, Magic and Hornets — should give them some easy wins. The teams Atlanta gets an extra regular-season game against — the Cavaliers, Celtics, Pacers and Raptors — while tough, aren’t unbeatable. Atlanta should be favored over Indiana and Toronto for most of their meetings.
NBA Futures Picks for 2023-24
The last few years could’ve gone better for the Atlanta Hawks. They appeared to be on the up-and-up after making the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2020-21 season. The Hawks put together a 41-win regular-season performance (in a 72-game season — over 82 games, that’s 46.5) and earned the fifth seed. They then regressed to 43 wins in 2021-22 and 41 wins in 2022-23. With their win total trading at 41.5, the books are expecting much the same from Atlanta in 2023-24. That is a mistake, and it is one we can capitalize upon for a profit.
Because the books are projecting Atlanta for more of the same in 2023-24, I’m backing them to exceed expectations. A number of behind-the-scenes factors have changed that all prove this projection doesn’t make sense. For example, head coach Quin Snyder is getting his first offseason — and his first full season — with the team. The Hawks went 10-11 (.476) under Snyder, which, over an 82-game season, equates to 39 wins. With a full offseason to prepare and time to build out a coaching staff, Snyder should easily increase that number.
Snyder’s coaching style is a good fit for Atlanta’s roster, and, as a head coach, Snyder almost always eclipses the 42-win threshold. In an 82-game schedule, that corresponds to a 51.2% winning percentage. Snyder beat that mark in all but two of his seasons in Utah, which were also his first two as a head coach. Although he couldn’t get to 51.2% in those seasons, he was taking over a Jazz team that had won just 30.5% of its games in the year before his arrival. Snyder-coached teams have won at least 58.5% of their games in his last six full seasons as a head coach. Back Atlanta to exceed the win total — and win the division — at the current market price.
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Atlanta Hawks Win Total Pick: Over 41.5 Wins -132 at FanDuel
Southeast Division Pick: Hawks +220 at FanDuel
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