After a thrilling NASCAR Cup Series race at Bristol (at which we cashed a Chase Elliott T10 ticket for +100 and scored monster closing line value), I want to get back to cashing tickets for outright winners. The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas for the 2024 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix this weekend. Let’s dive into the NASCAR Cup Series betting odds for Circuit of the Americas as we make our picks and predictions for the 2024 EchoPark Texas Grand Prix.
Are you looking for more NASCAR sports betting content? We’ve got you covered. Check out the NASCAR betting guide, all of which should help you make the best NASCAR Cup Series bet for the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas.
NASCAR Cup Series Bets: EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds, Picks & Predictions for Circuit of the Americas (2024)
NASCAR COTA Odds & Predictions
| Driver | Outright Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | +450 |
| Chase Elliott | +750 |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | +900 |
| William Byron | +1000 |
| Christopher Bell | +1000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1100 |
| Ross Chastain | +1200 |
| Kyle Larson | +1200 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1300 |
| Kyle Busch | +1500 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | +1500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +1600 |
| Michael McDowell | +1700 |
| Denny Hamlin | +2200 |
| Chris Buescher | +2500 |
| Alex Bowman | +2500 |
Tier 1 | EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds
One driver stands alone atop the odds board for this weekend’s race at the Circuit of the Americas: last year’s winner, Tyler Reddick (+450). Reddick scored his first win for 23XI Racing at this track last year after starting on the front row and leading 41 of 75 laps, scoring a near-perfect driver rating (141.8).
The only drivers who rank close to Reddick are Chase Elliott (+750) and Shane Van Gisbergen (+900). Elliott missed this event last season but won the inaugural event at this track in 2021 before finishing P4 in 2022. Van Gisbergen is making his second-ever Cup Series start after winning his debut in Chicago last year.
Tier 2 | EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Odds
A wide array of drivers find themselves between +1000 and +1500. These include the other Circuit of the Americas winner, Ross Chastain (+1200), now Van Gisbergen’s teammate.
In front of Chastain are William Byron (+1000), Christopher Bell (+1000) and Ty Gibbs (+1100). Bell has two road course wins under his belt, but both came at less technical circuits.
Byron scored his first-ever Cup Series road course win at Watkins Glen, another technical track (but not quite as technical as COTA) last year.
Gibbs is still hunting for his first Cup Series win, but he ended last season with top-5 finishes at Watkins Glen and the Charlotte Roval.
Rounding out Tier 2 are Kyle Larson (+1200), Martin Truex Jr. (+1300), Kyle Busch (+1500) and A.J. Allmendinger (+1500), who have all won multiple races on road courses in their careers, but with only Truex (2023 Sonoma) and Allmendinger (2023 Charlotte Roval) winning at one of these tracks last season.
Tier 3 & Below | EchoPark Texas Grand Prix
A few notable names stand out further down the odds board. Michael McDowell (+1700) and Daniel Suarez (+1600) have both won at road courses in recent memory Suarez (Sonoma 2022) and McDowell (Indy Road Course 2023) have yet to win at venues that are not road courses or superspeedways.
Denny Hamlin (+2200) clocks in with surprisingly long odds due to his struggles at these tracks in the Gen. 7 car. He scored a best finish of P2 at Watkins Glen last season, but that’s his only top-10 result on a road course (including Chicago) in this car in 11 attempts. He could be a driver to fade on matchup markets.
Austin Cindric (+2800) is known as a road-course ace but has yet to win on one of these venues in the Cup Series. Todd Gilliland (+10000) put together some solid runs at these tracks in the Truck Series, and he even broke through for a top-10 result at COTA last year, and he nearly had another one at Watkins Glen later in the year.
Former F1 driver Kamui Kobayashi (+4000) is in the No. 50 Toyota for 23XI Racing in his second-ever Cup Series start after finishing 33rd at the Indy Road Course last season.
NASCAR Cup Series Bets: EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Picks & Predictions | COTA
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Bet #1: Front Row Racing Puts on a Show | NASCAR Cup Series
Front Row Racing has been progressing well over the last few seasons, and they finally became a Tier 1 team for Ford Performance over the offseason. The move has paid immediate dividends: McDowell already has two top-10s this season and is yet to qualify worse than 12th. His teammate, Todd Gilliland, led the most laps in Atlanta but got mired in traffic late. He also played an aggressive contrarian strategy at Phoenix that could’ve scored him a solid finish.
We know McDowell can win on road courses in the Cup Series because he did it at Indy last year. He started fourth, quickly took the lead before the end of Stage 1, and proceeded to lead 54 of 82 laps.
McDowell’s win at Indy was just one of three top-10s in six starts on road courses last season. He looked poised to score a fourth at Watkins Glen before an electrical failure ended his day early.
His success dates back beyond last season, through — in 2022, the first year of the Gen. 7 car, McDowell scored four top-10s on these tracks. He has results of P7, P12 and P13 at COTA across three starts.
Gilliland doesn’t have as impressive of a resume, but he owns two Cup Series top-10 results on road courses in 12 starts. His results of P16 and P10 at COTA are also impressive. Gilliland also won here in his lone Truck Series start back in 2021.
We’re getting both Front Row drivers at odds that are far too long. McDowell is -110 to score a top-10 and +2000 to win the race. Gilliland is +550 to score a top-10 and +15000 to win the race. Buy both of those lines before qualifying.
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix NASCAR Betting Prediction: Michael McDowell +2000 at BetMGM
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix NASCAR Betting Prediction: Michael McDowell T10 -110 at BetMGM
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix NASCAR Betting Prediction: Todd Gilliland +15000 at BetMGM
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix NASCAR Betting Prediction: Todd Gilliland T10 +550 at BetMGM
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix Bet #2: Uhh… Someone’s Getting Fired | NASCAR Cup Series
Shane Van Gisbergen won impressively in his NASCAR Cup Series debut at the Chicago Street Course. The Australia Supercars star has a skillset that adapts well to the Cup Series’ Gen. 7 car, which mirrors the cars he ran Down Under.
Van Gisbergen benefited plenty from the inclement weather in Chicago last year, but he also led the field in green-flag speed by a sizeable margin. He stuck in the top-5 for the entire day, finishing each stage inside that cutoff before winning the race.
He is now trading at -130 to score a top-10 at Caesars is slightly more generous at -170, but that’s still quite the gap. Pounce on this market disparity before it gets bid off the board.
EchoPark Texas Grand Prix NASCAR Betting Prediction: Shane Van Gisbergen T10 -130 at BetMGM
